Milan Smesny vs Jiri Grohsgott · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Starts 07:30Scheduled

Milan Smesny

Home

2.75

At publish

Lost last 3

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

Head to head

12 – 33

All 45 meetings · 26.7%

Last 10 · 0–10Same side

Jiri Grohsgott

Away

1.40

At publish

Won last 1

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Milan Smesny arrives off 3 straight losses.

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Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSmesny 2.75 / Grohsgott 1.40

Round robin · match 4 of 6

2 of 6 played

A17 Hall · Group 21 of 22 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Jiri GrohsgottThis match	1–0	3–0	2
2	Ladislav Novotny	1–0	3–1	2
3	Milan SmesnyThis match	0–1	1–3	2
4	Andrii Tkachenko	0–1	0–3	2

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSmesny0wins

AwayGrohsgott10wins

3 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSmesny0%0 of 3

AwayGrohsgott100%7 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Smesny3Grohsgott7n = 10Grohsgott took 7 of 10

S2Smesny3Grohsgott7n = 10Grohsgott took 7 of 10

S3Smesny0Grohsgott10n = 10Grohsgott took 10 of 10

S4Smesny1Grohsgott3n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4

S5Smesny0Grohsgott3n = 3Grohsgott took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away660%

These 10 meetings

MetricSmesnyGrohsgottS − GBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.439.8−10.4per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSmesnyGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 350 vs 734 / 150052%48.9%182 / 350 vs 734 / 1500Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.1per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280350

Smesny2.75

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog32% won 21 of 65

Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 34

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22

Grohsgott1.40

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite65% won 148 of 229

Up 2–0, closes it93% 83 of 89

Up 1–0, closes it80% 112 of 140

Milan Smesny vs Jiri Grohsgott · Czech Liga Pro

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 4 of 6

Round robin before this match

Milan Smesny vs Jiri Grohsgott · Czech Liga Pro

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 4 of 6

Round robin before this match