Jakub Horky vs Simon Mezlik 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 43 - B3 · Prague

Played Oct 10Finished

Jakub Horky

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1161210117––––

Simon Mezlik

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:01 and never touched: 54.3% is still 54.3%

Graded at full time

Jakub Horky to win

54.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingJakub Horky above · Simon Mezlik below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 11-7

Point 57 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Jakub Horky at 54.3%

57 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:01

54.3%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.3pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Horky

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Horky 1458 vs Mezlik 1323

Horky

Correct

both rated, 135 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Horky 80% vs Mezlik 60%

Horky

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Horky 80% vs Mezlik 50%

Horky

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Horky -1 · Mezlik -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Horky) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Horky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHorky 1.80 / Mezlik 1.909

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Horky)-1.3pp (anti-value)

TT Cup · #13273480

Horky1.80

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 48 days ago (Aug 23) · back after a break

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite71% won 32 of 45

Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it86% 24 of 28

Mezlik1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 08)

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog29% won 4 of 14

Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 8

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricHorkyMezlikBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 158 vs 7 / 1952.5%36.8%83 / 158 vs 7 / 19Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.032.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Horky

Horky 1.80/Mezlik 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54.3%

Horky · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Horky won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Horky10