TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Petr Pesout vs Simon Mezlik 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214711711––––
Simon Mezlik
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPetr Pesout above · Simon Mezlik below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 62 set 3, 7-11
62 points played in total.
H2H Petr Pesout 1–0 Simon Mezlik Simon Mezlik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Pesout beat Mezlik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pesout form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesout 1.50 / Mezlik 2.50
TT Cup · #13260580
Pesout1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 18 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Mezlik2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePesout1wins
AwayMezlik0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPesout leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPesoutMezlikP − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match40.044.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesoutMezlikBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 364 vs 4 / 1445.9%28.6%167 / 364 vs 4 / 14Avg sets wonper match1.91.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.529.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PesoutPesout 1.50/Mezlik 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Mezlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 7 · 15:35P. Pesout40411113113S. Mezlik4411871172
P. Pesout10
LOct 7 · 16:05L. Vana1.671111133P. Pesout2.1067110WOct 7 · 15:35S. Mezlik2.2511871172P. Pesout1.57411113113LOct 7 · 14:35P. Pesout1.4011981182V. Kaisler2.75811114113WOct 5 · 17:18J. Vranca—8650P. Pesout—1111113LOct 5 · 15:05J. Manhal Jr1.531111113P. Pesout2.388690WOct 5 · 14:35L. Vosyka1.44119581P. Pesout2.6371111113LSep 27 · 13:45M. Chmelicek1.781415113P. Pesout1.93121390WSep 27 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.57111511992P. Pesout2.25317911113WSep 27 · 11:35P. Pesout2.75111011113T. Motacek1.40512891LSep 27 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.73681111113P. Pesout2.0011114692
S. Mezlik10
WOct 7 · 16:35V. Kaisler1.8310680S. Mezlik1.831211113LOct 7 · 15:35S. Mezlik2.2511871172P. Pesout1.57411113113LOct 7 · 14:05L. Vana1.331111113S. Mezlik3.256960LOct 4 · 09:09S. Mezlik2.20511871M. Chmelicek1.6111711113WOct 4 · 08:35M. Chmelicek1.3651111692S. Mezlik3.00119211113LOct 4 · 07:35S. Mezlik2.756410J. Martin1.401111113LOct 4 · 06:05R. Vavricka1.281111113S. Mezlik3.504880WOct 3 · 21:10S. Mezlik—11611123M. Chmelicek—4117101LOct 3 · 20:35L. Vana1.5061111113S. Mezlik2.50119541LOct 3 · 19:35S. Mezlik3.00412981T. Motacek1.36111011113
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