TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Martin Chmelicek vs Petr Pesout 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
14121513119––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMartin Chmelicek above · Petr Pesout below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 74 set 3, 11-9
74 points played in total.
H2H Martin Chmelicek 15–12 Petr Pesout Petr Pesout has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chmelicek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChmelicek 1.78 / Pesout 1.93
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chmelicek)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13206771
Chmelicek1.78
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 66 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it70% 54 of 77
Pesout1.93
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 40 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChmelicek7wins
AwayPesout3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderChmelicek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChmelicek100%5 of 5
AwayPesout60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chmelicek5Pesout5n = 10split evenly
S2Chmelicek8Pesout2n = 10Chmelicek took 8 of 10
S3Chmelicek4Pesout6n = 10Pesout took 6 of 10
S4Chmelicek4Pesout5n = 9Pesout took 5 of 9
S5Chmelicek4Pesout1n = 5Chmelicek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChmelicekPesoutC − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.440.2+3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChmelicekPesoutBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 545 vs 164 / 35747.3%45.9%258 / 545 vs 164 / 357Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChmelicekChmelicek 1.78/Pesout 1.93
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chmelicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chmelicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 10:05M. Chmelicek47681111113P. Pesout4111114692
WSep 26 · 16:35M. Chmelicek4211118123P. Pesout379711101
LSep 22 · 16:35M. Chmelicek50911111182P. Pesout47116613113
WSep 15 · 16:35M. Chmelicek47114147113P. Pesout48811121162
LSep 13 · 12:35M. Chmelicek35911691P. Pesout4211911113
WSep 9 · 17:35M. Chmelicek50111117113P. Pesout43891971
WSep 9 · 16:05M. Chmelicek331111113P. Pesout219390
LSep 6 · 12:05M. Chmelicek33911941P. Pesout4011711113
WAug 30 · 17:35M. Chmelicek47811611113P. Pesout4011511852
WAug 30 · 16:05M. Chmelicek50121188113P. Pesout43103111182
M. Chmelicek10
LSep 27 · 12:05M. Chmelicek2.38511481T. Motacek1.5311611113WSep 27 · 11:05M. Chmelicek2.001111113R. Vavricka1.737790WSep 27 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.73681111113P. Pesout2.0011114692LSep 26 · 17:35T. Motacek1.57113711113M. Chmelicek2.2571111772WSep 26 · 16:35M. Chmelicek1.5711118123P. Pesout2.209711101WSep 26 · 15:05J. Martin1.7411511892M. Chmelicek1.95811411113LSep 26 · 14:35T. Motacek1.801411113M. Chmelicek1.9112870LSep 24 · 21:33J. Martin1.739111111123M. Chmelicek2.00119513102WSep 24 · 20:35M. Rojka2.007560M. Chmelicek1.731111113LSep 24 · 19:35M. Chmelicek1.91811721J. Martin1.8011311113
P. Pesout10
WSep 27 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.57111511992P. Pesout2.25317911113WSep 27 · 11:35P. Pesout2.75111011113T. Motacek1.40512891LSep 27 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.73681111113P. Pesout2.0011114692WSep 26 · 17:05J. Martin1.331012791P. Pesout3.25121011113LSep 26 · 16:35M. Chmelicek1.5711118123P. Pesout2.209711101LSep 26 · 15:35P. Pesout2.4011111882T. Motacek1.50651111113LSep 26 · 14:05J. Martin1.501111113P. Pesout2.509740LSep 25 · 17:10P. Pesout1.6711691192L. Vana2.10911119113WSep 25 · 16:35L. Vana1.808144111P. Pesout1.91111211133LSep 25 · 15:35P. Pesout2.253111171T. Motacek1.5711713113
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