TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Antoni Witkowski vs Jan Zandecki 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 9Finished
Antoni Witkowski
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811411119118811
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:52 and never touched: 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeAntoni Witkowski to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAntoni Witkowski above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Antoni Witkowski at 56.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Antoni Witkowski 19–15 Jan Zandecki Jan Zandecki has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:5256.5%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 7.2pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Witkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
19-15 in 34
Witkowski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witkowski 1903 vs Zandecki 1952
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witkowski 80% vs Zandecki 20%
Witkowski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witkowski 70% vs Zandecki 30%
Witkowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Witkowski -1 · Zandecki -4
Zandecki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Witkowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitkowski 1.571 / Zandecki 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Witkowski)-7.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13264226
Witkowski1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 58 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Zandecki2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 75 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back28% 22 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitkowski4wins
AwayZandecki6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZandecki75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witkowski2Zandecki8n = 10Zandecki took 8 of 10
S2Witkowski5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S3Witkowski6Zandecki4n = 10Witkowski took 6 of 10
S4Witkowski4Zandecki3n = 7Witkowski took 4 of 7
S5Witkowski1Zandecki2n = 3Zandecki took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitkowskiZandeckiW − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.3−0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitkowskiZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 386 vs 469 / 83258.6%56.4%226 / 386 vs 469 / 832Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiWitkowski 1.57/Zandecki 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski346121151J. Zandecki4511149113
LMay 9 · 15:10A. Witkowski2110470J. Zandecki341211113
LMay 9 · 06:15A. Witkowski541012121192J. Zandecki521210145113
WMay 8 · 11:10A. Witkowski3811511113J. Zandecki31911831
LMay 8 · 05:40A. Witkowski4081111462J. Zandecki48116911113
LMay 7 · 15:35A. Witkowski36891181J. Zandecki3611113113
WMay 7 · 07:40A. Witkowski3851111113J. Zandecki26115281
WFeb 20 · 11:00A. Witkowski518111011113J. Zandecki4511612792
LFeb 20 · 09:10A. Witkowski1911710J. Zandecki351311113
WFeb 13 · 12:10A. Witkowski331111113J. Zandecki219570
A. Witkowski10
LOct 9 · 06:30D. Wederlich2.00118511113A. Witkowski1.7331111952LOct 9 · 05:40P. David1.531111113A. Witkowski2.388880LOct 9 · 03:45A. Witkowski2.108930M. Jadczyk1.671111113WSep 13 · 07:45A. Witkowski1.5711511113S. Dosz2.25911961WSep 13 · 06:30A. Witkowski1.9181111113A. Dosz1.80117391WSep 13 · 05:15A. Witkowski1.83111011113K. Petas1.83812781WSep 13 · 04:10G. Adamiak2.75115741A. Witkowski1.4071111113LSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski1.576121151J. Zandecki2.2511149113WSep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.251178111A. Witkowski1.5791111133WSep 12 · 12:55J. Braun2.2089111182A. Witkowski1.61111169113
J. Zandecki10
WOct 9 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.7561180J. Zandecki1.851113113LOct 9 · 03:25D. Wederlich2.10111310113J. Zandecki1.678111261LOct 8 · 14:35J. Zandecki2.10116541P. David1.6771111113LOct 8 · 12:55J. Zandecki3.75741131J. Folwarski1.2511116113LOct 8 · 11:40J. Zandecki1.8071191172D. Michna1.91118115113WOct 8 · 10:00J. Zandecki2.00111155113A. Grela1.7364111152WOct 8 · 09:00J. Zandecki1.67111188133D. Wederlich2.10781111112LOct 8 · 08:05J. Zandecki1.735860D. Wederlich2.001111113LOct 8 · 06:30P. David1.571111710113J. Zandecki2.2579111272WSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski1.576121151J. Zandecki2.2511149113
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