TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Bereiter vs Frantisek Laburda 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121161179111012
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Laburda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Bereiter above · Frantisek Laburda below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 99 set 5, 10-12 · our read held Frantisek Laburda at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:5754.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Laburda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Bereiter 1648 vs Laburda 1661
Laburda
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bereiter 40% vs Laburda 60%
Laburda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bereiter 50% vs Laburda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bereiter +2 · Laburda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Laburda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bereiter form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBereiter 1.833 / Laburda 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Laburda)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13259588
Bereiter1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Laburda1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBereiterLaburdaBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 70 vs 87 / 15854.3%55.1%38 / 70 vs 87 / 158Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LaburdaBereiter 1.83/Laburda 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Laburda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Laburda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Bereiter10
WOct 8 · 15:30A. Walek2.1011771192M. Bereiter1.67611117113WOct 8 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.731111113J. Snr2.009470LSep 12 · 13:00Z. Pagac1.5711811113M. Bereiter2.25811871LSep 12 · 12:00Z. Pagac1.671311133M. Bereiter2.10119110LSep 12 · 11:00D. Unzeitig2.38111287113M. Bereiter1.53610111192LSep 12 · 10:30M. Bereiter1.571112651A. Walek2.2571411113LSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113WSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113WSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172
F. Laburda10
WOct 8 · 15:00J. Snr1.67611711112F. Laburda2.10119118133LOct 8 · 14:30F. Laburda1.678470A. Walek2.101111113LSep 15 · 17:30F. Laburda1.8011771192L. Martinak1.90611119113WSep 15 · 16:00F. Laburda1.61811114113D. Machander2.2011961192WSep 15 · 15:30A. Walek2.00118851F. Laburda1.7331111113WSep 15 · 14:00F. Laburda1.831261110183L. Martinak1.831011712162WSep 8 · 17:29A. Walek1.9161111382F. Laburda1.80119911113LSep 8 · 16:00F. Laburda1.7351111792A. Walek2.00114911113LSep 8 · 15:30D. Heczko2.251112110143F. Laburda1.576101112122WSep 8 · 14:00F. Laburda1.6111111010113D. Langer2.2067121252
Upcoming Matches
M. Bereiter
F. Laburda
Nothing scheduled
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