TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lubomir Vana vs Vlastimil Kaisler 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131181181113911
Vlastimil Kaisler
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched: 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeLubomir Vana to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLubomir Vana above · Vlastimil Kaisler below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 106 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Lubomir Vana at 66.3%
106 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:0466.3%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 5.1pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vana
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Vana 1463 vs Kaisler 1279
Vana
Wrong
both rated, 184 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vana 80% vs Kaisler 60%
Vana
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vana 70% vs Kaisler 40%
Vana
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vana +4 · Kaisler +2
Vana
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Vana) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaisler form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 1.40 / Kaisler 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Vana)-5.1pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13258175
Vana1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kaisler2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog25% won 8 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaKaislerBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 85 vs 105 / 23544.7%44.7%38 / 85 vs 105 / 235Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVana 1.40/Kaisler 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kaisler won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Vana10
WOct 7 · 16:05L. Vana1.671111133P. Pesout2.1067110WOct 7 · 14:05L. Vana1.331111113S. Mezlik3.256960WOct 3 · 21:40T. Motacek1.5311970L. Vana2.381311113WOct 3 · 20:35L. Vana1.5061111113S. Mezlik2.50119541WOct 3 · 19:05M. Chmelicek1.574111110112L. Vana2.25117512133LOct 3 · 18:35T. Motacek1.6711612133L. Vana2.1051110111LOct 1 · 17:54T. Krcil1.8391411113L. Vana1.831112591LOct 1 · 16:35T. Krcil2.00111177143L. Vana1.73561111122WOct 1 · 15:35L. Vana1.53101111113O. Pros2.38128491WOct 1 · 14:05J. Martin1.914890L. Vana1.801111113
V. Kaisler10
LOct 7 · 16:35V. Kaisler1.8310680S. Mezlik1.831211113WOct 7 · 14:35P. Pesout1.4011981182V. Kaisler2.75811114113WAug 23 · 13:43J. Horky1.4011771252V. Kaisler2.754111110113LAug 23 · 12:35V. Kaisler1.9188121192R. Jaros1.801111108113LAug 23 · 11:05J. Horky1.731111113V. Kaisler2.009550WAug 23 · 10:35M. Cyrus1.71441171V. Kaisler2.0011117113LAug 22 · 13:10R. Jaros1.9111119113V. Kaisler1.80141101LAug 22 · 12:35V. Kaisler2.003111151R. Jaros1.7311139113WAug 22 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.50111014762V. Kaisler2.508121211113LAug 22 · 10:35M. Cyrus1.83119511113V. Kaisler1.8391111762
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.