TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12477443
Played Aug 23Finished
Miroslav Cyrus
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411411117711––
Vlastimil Kaisler
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 68.4% is still 68.4%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Cyrus to win
68.4%
68.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
411411117711––
H2H Miroslav Cyrus 4–1 Vlastimil Kaisler Vlastimil Kaisler has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Cyrus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Cyrus
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyrus 1296 vs Kaisler 1259
Cyrus
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyrus 40% vs Kaisler 20%
Cyrus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyrus 50% vs Kaisler 20%
Cyrus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyrus -2 · Kaisler -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Cyrus) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaisler form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyrus 1.71 / Kaisler 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Cyrus)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12477443
Cyrus1.71
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite40% won 8 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it62% 8 of 13
Kaisler2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog28% won 12 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back18% 5 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeCyrus4wins
AwayKaisler1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderCyrus leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyrusn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKaisler33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyrus2Kaisler3n = 5Kaisler took 3 of 5
S2Cyrus4Kaisler1n = 5Cyrus took 4 of 5
S3Cyrus2Kaisler3n = 5Kaisler took 3 of 5
S4Cyrus3Kaisler1n = 4Cyrus took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricCyrusKaislerC − KBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match41.636.8+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCyrusKaislerBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 172 vs 102 / 23044.8%44.4%77 / 172 vs 102 / 230Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CyrusCyrus 1.71/Kaisler 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Cyrus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kaisler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 22 · 10:35M. Cyrus—119511113V. Kaisler—91111762
WMay 13 · 17:15M. Cyrus—1111113V. Kaisler—5610
WMay 13 · 16:35M. Cyrus—111211113V. Kaisler—1310541
LJan 18 · 12:35M. Cyrus—2111061V. Kaisler—11912113
WDec 30 · 13:05M. Cyrus—511811193V. Kaisler—117117172
M. Cyrus10
WSep 4 · 21:45M. Cyrus2.101111314113M. Rojka1.67135111282WSep 4 · 20:35M. Cyrus1.44111011113R. Jaros2.63412771WSep 4 · 19:05M. Chmelicek1.61921131M. Cyrus2.2011119113WSep 4 · 18:35M. Rojka1.50119117112M. Cyrus2.50811811133LSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:35P. Pesout1.831111113M. Cyrus1.837230LSep 2 · 15:35M. Cyrus2.251760M. Flesar1.571111113WSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113WAug 23 · 13:14R. Jaros2.3891340M. Cyrus1.531115113LAug 23 · 12:05J. Horky1.3313711113M. Cyrus3.251111821
V. Kaisler10
WAug 23 · 13:43J. Horky1.4011771252V. Kaisler2.754111110113LAug 23 · 12:35V. Kaisler1.9188121192R. Jaros1.801111108113LAug 23 · 11:05J. Horky1.731111113V. Kaisler2.009550LAug 22 · 13:10R. Jaros1.9111119113V. Kaisler1.80141101LAug 22 · 12:35V. Kaisler2.003111121R. Jaros1.731113963WAug 22 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.50111014762V. Kaisler2.508121211113LAug 22 · 10:35M. Cyrus1.83119511113V. Kaisler1.8391111762LJun 28 · 17:10R. Hruby—11811113V. Kaisler—511941WJun 28 · 16:05M. Flesar1.41112119102V. Kaisler2.55611711123LJun 28 · 15:35R. Hruby1.901111113V. Kaisler1.749930
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