TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12472957
Played Aug 22Finished
Vlastimil Kaisler
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311111311926––
Radim Jaros
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Jaros to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVlastimil Kaisler above · Radim Jaros below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-6
Point 67 set 4, 3-6 — our read held Radim Jaros at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:14What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jaros
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kaisler 1300 vs Jaros 1214
Kaisler
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaisler 40% vs Jaros 0%
Kaisler
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaisler 30% vs Jaros 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaisler +1 · Jaros -5
Jaros
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jaros)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jaros form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaisler 2.00 / Jaros 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jaros)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12472957
Kaisler2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 12 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back18% 5 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Jaros1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaislerJarosBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 228 vs 89 / 22744.7%39.2%102 / 228 vs 89 / 227Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.534.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JarosKaisler 2.00/Jaros 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jaros · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jaros won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Kaisler10
WAug 23 · 13:43J. Horky1.4011771252V. Kaisler2.754111110113LAug 23 · 12:35V. Kaisler1.9188121192R. Jaros1.801111108113LAug 23 · 11:05J. Horky1.731111113V. Kaisler2.009550WAug 23 · 10:35M. Cyrus1.71441171V. Kaisler2.0011117113LAug 22 · 13:10R. Jaros1.9111119113V. Kaisler1.80141101WAug 22 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.50111014762V. Kaisler2.508121211113LAug 22 · 10:35M. Cyrus1.83119511113V. Kaisler1.8391111762LJun 28 · 17:10R. Hruby—11811113V. Kaisler—511941WJun 28 · 16:05M. Flesar1.41112119102V. Kaisler2.55611711123LJun 28 · 15:35R. Hruby1.901111113V. Kaisler1.749930
R. Jaros10
WSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101LSep 6 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6311811121P. Pesout1.4481113143LSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172LSep 5 · 17:15M. Chmelicek1.1716115113R. Jaros4.501481131WSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113LSep 5 · 15:35R. Jaros3.25119801T. Motacek1.3351111113LSep 5 · 14:05M. Chmelicek1.171111113R. Jaros4.502750WAug 23 · 12:35V. Kaisler1.9188121192R. Jaros1.801111108113WAug 22 · 13:10R. Jaros1.9111119113V. Kaisler1.80141101
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