TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lubomir Vana vs Ondrej Pros 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Lubomir Vana
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012118114119––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:21 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeLubomir Vana to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLubomir Vana above · Ondrej Pros below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Lubomir Vana at 60.8%
76 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:2160.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vana
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Vana 1436 vs Pros 1408
Vana
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vana 60% vs Pros 20%
Vana
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vana 40% vs Pros 20%
Vana
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vana +3 · Pros -1
Vana
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Vana) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pros form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 1.533 / Pros 2.375
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vana)-4.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13226893
Vana1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Pros2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 37 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaProsBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 77 vs 121 / 26842.9%45.2%33 / 77 vs 121 / 268Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVana 1.53/Pros 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vana won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Vana10
WOct 1 · 14:05J. Martin1.914890L. Vana1.801111113WSep 26 · 21:10L. Vana1.677111110113J. Martin2.1011971252WSep 26 · 20:35J. Martin2.25491361L. Vana1.57111111113LSep 26 · 19:35L. Vana1.91911491K. Lahodny1.8011611113LSep 26 · 18:05D. Hons1.5711811113L. Vana2.25511871WSep 25 · 17:10P. Pesout1.6711691192L. Vana2.10911119113LSep 25 · 16:35L. Vana1.808144111P. Pesout1.91111211133LSep 25 · 15:05J. Manhal Jr1.671111113L. Vana2.104870LSep 25 · 14:35T. Motacek1.67571311113L. Vana2.10111111472LSep 16 · 17:14M. Chmelicek1.571112113L. Vana2.2581080
O. Pros10
WOct 1 · 16:05J. Martin1.504740O. Pros2.501111113LOct 1 · 14:35O. Pros1.8342110T. Krcil1.831111133WSep 29 · 13:08J. Lovl1.3371011101O. Pros3.2511128123LSep 29 · 12:35R. Neterda2.1051112113O. Pros1.671121061LSep 29 · 11:35O. Pros2.758590J. Lovl1.401111113LSep 29 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.331111113O. Pros3.253790LSep 24 · 09:05T. Trnka1.33111111113O. Pros3.25613321WSep 24 · 08:35M. Flesar2.388111171O. Pros1.5311513113LSep 24 · 07:35O. Pros4.504121181P. Chvatal1.1711149113LSep 24 · 06:05T. Trnka1.531111113O. Pros2.388790
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