TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Manhal Jr vs Lubomir Vana 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118117––––
Lubomir Vana
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:15 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJan Manhal Jr to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Manhal Jr above · Lubomir Vana below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jan Manhal Jr at 55.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jan Manhal Jr 1–0 Lubomir Vana Lubomir Vana has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jr 1447 vs Vana 1432
Jr
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Vana 20%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 40% vs Vana 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +1 · Vana -4
Vana
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vana form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.67 / Vana 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Jr)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13194200
Jr1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite42% won 11 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it60% 6 of 10
Vana2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 9 days ago (Sep 16) · back after a break
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJr1wins
AwayVana0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderJr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJrVanaJ − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.049.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 71 vs 29 / 6443.7%45.3%31 / 71 vs 29 / 64Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.67/Vana 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 16 · 15:35J. Jr46115711123L. Vana49811119102
J. Jr10
WSep 25 · 14:05J. Jr1.531141011113P. Pesout2.3871112682LSep 24 · 17:03P. Chvatal1.531113113J. Jr2.3841150LSep 24 · 16:35J. Jr2.387790J. Martin1.531111113LSep 24 · 15:05P. Chvatal1.53111013113J. Jr2.388121161WSep 24 · 14:35R. Neterda1.67811101182J. Jr2.10119127113LSep 21 · 17:55J. Jr2.256111071L. Vosyka1.5711512113WSep 21 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.57971181J. Jr2.2511116113LSep 21 · 15:35J. Jr2.10611691R. Neterda1.6711811113WSep 21 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.4481171262J. Jr2.631141110113LSep 19 · 13:40J. Jr2.50119881J. Ruzicka1.5071111113
L. Vana10
LSep 25 · 14:35T. Motacek1.67571311113L. Vana2.10111111472LSep 16 · 17:14M. Chmelicek1.571112113L. Vana2.2581080LSep 16 · 16:05R. Neterda1.831061111113L. Vana1.8312116682LSep 16 · 15:35J. Jr1.83115711123L. Vana1.83811119102LSep 16 · 14:35L. Vana1.802680M. Chmelicek1.911111113WMar 26 · 22:35L. Vosyka—115119102L. Vana—511511123WMar 26 · 21:35J. Vidourek2.14117971L. Vana1.6141111113LMar 26 · 20:35L. Vana—11150L. Vosyka—1311113WMar 26 · 19:05R. Pokorny—31191272L. Vana—1161110113WMar 24 · 22:10J. Vidourek—10131211112L. Vana—1211148133
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