TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Pavel Chvatal vs Jan Manhal Jr 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Pavel Chvatal
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141311115––––
Jan Manhal Jr
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPavel Chvatal above · Jan Manhal Jr below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5
55 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Chvatal 1–0 Jan Manhal Jr Jan Manhal Jr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Chvatal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chvatal form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChvatal 1.53 / Jr 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Chvatal)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13190646
Chvatal1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 43 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45
Jr2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 15 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back31% 5 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChvatal1wins
AwayJr0wins
Chvatal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChvatalJrC − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.037.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChvatalJrBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 270 vs 30 / 6954.4%43.5%147 / 270 vs 30 / 69Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChvatalChvatal 1.53/Jr 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Chvatal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chvatal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 24 · 15:05P. Chvatal45111013113J. Jr378121161
P. Chvatal10
LSep 24 · 16:05P. Chvatal1.6183111372R. Neterda2.201111611113WSep 24 · 15:05P. Chvatal1.53111013113J. Jr2.388121161LSep 24 · 14:05P. Chvatal1.5314911121J. Martin2.3816114143LSep 24 · 09:35P. Chvatal1.539690M. Flesar2.381111113WSep 24 · 08:05T. Trnka1.44711581P. Chvatal2.6311511113WSep 24 · 07:35O. Pros4.504121181P. Chvatal1.1711149113WSep 24 · 06:35P. Chvatal1.6711611113M. Flesar2.10711681WSep 23 · 17:40M. Chmelicek2.25119881P. Chvatal1.5791111113WSep 23 · 16:05P. Chvatal1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115681WSep 23 · 15:05P. Chvatal1.83611711113T. Motacek1.8311911692
J. Jr10
LSep 24 · 16:35J. Jr2.387790J. Martin1.531111113LSep 24 · 15:05P. Chvatal1.53111013113J. Jr2.388121161WSep 24 · 14:35R. Neterda1.67811101182J. Jr2.10119127113LSep 21 · 17:55J. Jr2.256111071L. Vosyka1.5711512113WSep 21 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.57971181J. Jr2.2511116113LSep 21 · 15:35J. Jr2.10611691R. Neterda1.6711811113WSep 21 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.4481171262J. Jr2.631141110113LSep 19 · 13:40J. Jr2.50119881J. Ruzicka1.5071111113LSep 19 · 12:35M. Flesar2.1011411113J. Jr1.67811291WSep 19 · 11:35J. Jr2.63511611123J. Ruzicka1.44118117102
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