TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jirasek Martin vs Ondrej Pros 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711411––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:00 and never touched: 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeJirasek Martin to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Ondrej Pros below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 48 set 3, 4-11 · our read held Jirasek Martin at 65.3%
48 points played in total.
H2H Jirasek Martin 0–1 Ondrej Pros Jirasek Martin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:0065.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 1.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Martin
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martin 1481 vs Pros 1396
Martin
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 40% vs Pros 20%
Martin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 60% vs Pros 20%
Martin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin -3 · Pros -2
Martin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Martin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pros form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 1.50 / Pros 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Martin)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13226737
Martin1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 34 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it79% 27 of 34
Pros2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 37 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMartin0wins
AwayPros1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPros leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMartinProsM − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match47.048.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinProsBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 127 vs 121 / 26952.8%45%67 / 127 vs 121 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.335.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MartinMartin 1.50/Pros 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Martin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 11 · 15:35J. Martin4711137792O. Pros484111111113
J. Martin10
LOct 1 · 15:05J. Martin1.6711491162T. Krcil2.10811112113LOct 1 · 14:05J. Martin1.914890L. Vana1.801111113LSep 30 · 21:34J. Martin1.53111051152L. Vosyka2.38412117113WSep 30 · 20:05J. Martin1.5711119133L. Vosyka2.258811111WSep 30 · 19:05J. Martin1.28111410113M. Cyrus3.506121241WSep 30 · 18:05J. Martin1.571111113R. Jonas2.259750LSep 29 · 21:45J. Martin1.57811116152T. Krcil2.25118811173WSep 29 · 20:05J. Martin1.53127115113T. Krcil2.38101171182WSep 29 · 19:05J. Martin1.83127811123J. Kabelka1.831011117102WSep 29 · 18:05J. Martin1.401111113M. Cyrus2.756790
O. Pros10
LOct 1 · 15:35L. Vana1.53101111113O. Pros2.38128491LOct 1 · 14:35O. Pros1.8342110T. Krcil1.831111133WSep 29 · 13:08J. Lovl1.3371011101O. Pros3.2511128123LSep 29 · 12:35R. Neterda2.1051112113O. Pros1.671121061LSep 29 · 11:35O. Pros2.758590J. Lovl1.401111113LSep 29 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.331111113O. Pros3.253790LSep 24 · 09:05T. Trnka1.33111111113O. Pros3.25613321WSep 24 · 08:35M. Flesar2.388111171O. Pros1.5311513113LSep 24 · 07:35O. Pros4.504121181P. Chvatal1.1711149113LSep 24 · 06:05T. Trnka1.531111113O. Pros2.388790
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