TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lubomir Vana vs Jirasek Martin 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Lubomir Vana
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111191171012115
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingLubomir Vana above · Jirasek Martin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 94 set 5, 11-5
94 points played in total.
H2H Lubomir Vana 1–0 Jirasek Martin Jirasek Martin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Vana beat Martin 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 1.67 / Martin 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vana)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13203433
Vana1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Martin2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 23 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVana1wins
AwayMartin0wins
Vana leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVanaMartinV − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.032.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaMartinBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 75 vs 61 / 11641.3%52.6%31 / 75 vs 61 / 116Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVana 1.67/Martin 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vana won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 26 · 20:35L. Vana44111111113J. Martin32491361
L. Vana10
WSep 26 · 20:35J. Martin2.25491361L. Vana1.57111111113LSep 26 · 19:35L. Vana1.91911491K. Lahodny1.8011611113LSep 26 · 18:05D. Hons1.5711811113L. Vana2.25511871WSep 25 · 17:10P. Pesout1.6711691192L. Vana2.10911119113LSep 25 · 16:35L. Vana1.808144111P. Pesout1.91111211133LSep 25 · 15:05J. Jr1.671111113L. Vana2.104870LSep 25 · 14:35T. Motacek1.67571311113L. Vana2.10111111472LSep 16 · 17:14M. Chmelicek1.571112113L. Vana2.2581080LSep 16 · 16:05R. Neterda1.831061111113L. Vana1.8312116682LSep 16 · 15:35J. Jr1.83115711123L. Vana1.83811119102
J. Martin10
LSep 26 · 20:35J. Martin2.25491361L. Vana1.57111111113LSep 26 · 19:05D. Hons1.80711116113J. Martin1.9111771182LSep 26 · 18:35K. Lahodny1.83961111113J. Martin1.8311119952LSep 26 · 17:05J. Martin1.331012791P. Pesout3.25121011113LSep 26 · 16:05J. Martin1.902460T. Motacek1.761111113LSep 26 · 15:05J. Martin1.7411511892M. Chmelicek1.95811411113WSep 26 · 14:05J. Martin1.501111113P. Pesout2.509740WSep 25 · 21:10J. Martin1.17141110113M. Jinek4.501271281WSep 25 · 20:05J. Martin1.80115911113R. Vavricka1.9191111552LSep 25 · 19:05J. Martin1.574590J. Kabelka2.251111113
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