TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Kovalenko vs Mykhailo Khalenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113711––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kovalenko above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 61 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 55.8%
61 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kovalenko 0–2 Mykhailo Khalenko Serhii Kovalenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Khalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1202 vs Khalenko 1344
Khalenko
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 60% vs Khalenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 60% vs Khalenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko +2 · Khalenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Khalenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 2.20 / Khalenko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Khalenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13201950
Kovalenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back33% 3 of 9
Khalenko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 54 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKovalenko0wins
AwayKhalenko2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKhalenko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKovalenkoKhalenkoKovalenko − KhalenkoBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.050.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 76 vs 192 / 37043.4%51.9%33 / 76 vs 192 / 370Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoKovalenko 2.20/Khalenko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 16 · 07:35S. Kovalenko3911118452M. Khalenko50891111113
S. Kovalenko10
WSep 27 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.919570S. Kovalenko1.801111113WSep 27 · 08:35S. Kovalenko1.73111142113S. Semenets2.0029111152LSep 27 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.571111113S. Kovalenko2.257860LSep 27 · 06:05S. Kovalenko1.91811731V. Nechai1.8011711113WSep 20 · 17:10V. Kondratenko1.40119971S. Kovalenko2.7581111113WSep 20 · 16:10V. Mykhalchenko1.80117671S. Kovalenko1.9161111113LSep 20 · 14:40O. Stopin1.6511102S. Kovalenko2.05480LSep 20 · 12:40Y. Korotin1.50118118143S. Kovalenko2.50511711122WSep 20 · 10:40V. Varchenko1.57871151S. Kovalenko2.2511112113WAug 22 · 12:20S. Kovalenko1.3611125113K. Vernudin3.006101161
M. Khalenko10
WSep 27 · 10:35S. Semenets2.0055100M. Khalenko1.731111123WSep 27 · 09:05V. Stukalov2.636920M. Khalenko1.441111113LSep 27 · 07:05V. Nechai1.831110911113M. Khalenko1.8381211992WSep 27 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.7341270M. Khalenko2.001114113LSep 24 · 11:30S. Semenets2.201411113M. Khalenko1.6112980LSep 24 · 10:00M. Khalenko3.007380V. Korniichuk1.361111113WSep 24 · 08:00V. Stukalov2.75312891M. Khalenko1.40111011113LSep 24 · 06:00V. Mukhin1.8011116113M. Khalenko1.91891191WSep 24 · 05:00O. Miklukha2.10511371M. Khalenko1.6711711113WSep 23 · 12:05S. Semenets2.1071040M. Khalenko1.671112113
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