TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Mukhin vs Mykhailo Khalenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119611119––
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Mukhin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Mukhin at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 15–14 Mykhailo Khalenko Mykhailo Khalenko has won 14 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:04What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mukhin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-14 in 29
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1365 vs Khalenko 1332
Mukhin
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 40% vs Khalenko 80%
Khalenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 30% vs Khalenko 70%
Khalenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin +2 · Khalenko +4
Khalenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mukhin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 1.80 / Khalenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mukhin)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13185561
Mukhin1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 94 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it84% 70 of 83
Khalenko1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 61 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMukhin5wins
AwayKhalenko5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin80%4 of 5
AwayKhalenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin5Khalenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Mukhin7Khalenko3n = 10Mukhin took 7 of 10
S3Mukhin5Khalenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Mukhin6Khalenko4n = 10Mukhin took 6 of 10
S5Mukhin1Khalenko4n = 5Khalenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMukhinKhalenkoM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.140.3−0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 328 vs 188 / 36652.1%51.4%171 / 328 vs 188 / 366Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MukhinMukhin 1.80/Khalenko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mukhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mukhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 06:00V. Mukhin3911116113M. Khalenko37891191
WSep 20 · 05:05V. Mukhin3511211113M. Khalenko28311681
WSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin40311411113M. Khalenko4511711972
WSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin4311147113M. Khalenko335121151
LAug 19 · 06:00V. Mukhin3711115822M. Khalenko46671111113
LAug 18 · 06:00V. Mukhin41611112112M. Khalenko47116611133
LAug 16 · 05:05V. Mukhin47811117102M. Khalenko48119511123
LJul 20 · 04:30V. Mukhin48971111102M. Khalenko52111199123
LJul 11 · 04:30V. Mukhin30681151M. Khalenko4111118113
WJul 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin4111118113M. Khalenko26461151
V. Mukhin10
WSep 24 · 04:30V. Mukhin2.209111110113V. Korniichuk1.6111681242WSep 21 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.00111177113D. Ponomarenko1.7365111172LSep 21 · 09:35V. Mukhin4.00312741O. Ovsiienko1.22111011113LSep 21 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.50481181O. Mytsyk1.5011112113LSep 21 · 06:35V. Mukhin4.336780S. Skhabitskiy1.201111113LSep 21 · 05:05V. Mukhin3.75117111032M. Stetsenko1.25611912113LSep 20 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.44118471D. Khavanskyi2.6391111113WSep 20 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.251111113V. Stukalov3.756590LSep 20 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25661161O. Mytsyk1.5711117113LSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113
M. Khalenko10
WSep 24 · 05:00O. Miklukha2.10511371M. Khalenko1.6711711113WSep 23 · 12:05S. Semenets2.1071040M. Khalenko1.671112113WSep 23 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.331011118113D. Khavanskyi3.2512941192WSep 23 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.63851191M. Khalenko1.4411116113LSep 23 · 06:35V. Korniichuk1.3010141210113M. Khalenko3.401212101242LSep 23 · 05:35S. Hovorunets1.91118119113M. Khalenko1.8031161182WSep 20 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.388180M. Khalenko1.531111113LSep 20 · 10:35S. Semenets2.25114411123M. Khalenko1.57811115102WSep 20 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi2.38661291M. Khalenko1.53111110113WSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.7378111142M. Khalenko2.00111189113
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