TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykhailo Khalenko vs Denys Khavanskyi 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Mykhailo Khalenko
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012119114811119
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Khalenko above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 58.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Khalenko 10–10 Denys Khavanskyi Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Khalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-10 in 20
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khalenko 1322 vs Khavanskyi 1207
Khalenko
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khalenko 40% vs Khavanskyi 0%
Khalenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khalenko 60% vs Khavanskyi 40%
Khalenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khalenko +1 · Khavanskyi -5
Khavanskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Khalenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhalenko 1.33 / Khavanskyi 3.25
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Khalenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13180013
Khalenko1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 49 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Khavanskyi3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 28 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhalenko5wins
AwayKhavanskyi5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhalenko40%2 of 5
AwayKhavanskyi40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khalenko5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Khalenko6Khavanskyi4n = 10Khalenko took 6 of 10
S3Khalenko5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Khalenko4Khavanskyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Khalenko1Khavanskyi2n = 3Khavanskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhalenkoKhavanskyiKhalenko − KhavanskyiBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.636.5+2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhalenkoKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 363 vs 167 / 33251.2%50.3%186 / 363 vs 167 / 332Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoKhalenko 1.33/Khavanskyi 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.1%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Khalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 10:35M. Khalenko511011118113D. Khavanskyi4512941192
WSep 20 · 09:05M. Khalenko43111110113D. Khavanskyi33661291
WSep 13 · 10:35M. Khalenko3961111113D. Khavanskyi27117541
LSep 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko45118115102D. Khavanskyi51911811123
WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko4291111113D. Khavanskyi29116931
WSep 3 · 05:05M. Khalenko331111113D. Khavanskyi146260
LSep 6 · 10:35M. Khalenko2761380D. Khavanskyi371115113
LAug 30 · 10:35M. Khalenko4181141172D. Khavanskyi44115116113
LAug 26 · 11:40M. Khalenko33118591D. Khavanskyi4071111113
LAug 23 · 09:05M. Khalenko32149901D. Khavanskyi45121111113
M. Khalenko10
WSep 23 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.63851191M. Khalenko1.4411116113LSep 23 · 06:35V. Korniichuk1.3010141210113M. Khalenko3.401212101242LSep 23 · 05:35S. Hovorunets1.91118119113M. Khalenko1.8031161182WSep 20 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.388180M. Khalenko1.531111113LSep 20 · 10:35S. Semenets2.25114411123M. Khalenko1.57811115102WSep 20 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi2.38661291M. Khalenko1.53111110113WSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.7378111142M. Khalenko2.00111189113LSep 20 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.9111211113M. Khalenko1.80311681WSep 13 · 12:05S. Semenets2.001111661M. Khalenko1.7381311113WSep 13 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.5061111113D. Khavanskyi2.50117541
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 23 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.381111113D. Khavanskyi1.535340LSep 23 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.8341111113D. Khavanskyi1.83114471LSep 23 · 07:05S. Semenets1.8311813113D. Khavanskyi1.835111171LSep 23 · 05:05V. Korniichuk1.4071111113D. Khavanskyi2.75117951LSep 22 · 17:10V. Varchenko2.101111113D. Khavanskyi1.677350LSep 22 · 16:10S. Osipov3.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.366370WSep 22 · 14:40V. Stukalov2.2057120D. Khavanskyi1.611111143WSep 22 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.671011881D. Khavanskyi2.1012811113LSep 20 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi2.38661291M. Khalenko1.53111110113LSep 13 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.5061111113D. Khavanskyi2.50117541
Upcoming Matches
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