TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Hovorunets vs Denys Khavanskyi 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Serhii Hovorunets
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411114114117––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hovorunets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Hovorunets above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 63 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Hovorunets at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hovorunets 11–10 Denys Khavanskyi Denys Khavanskyi has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:37What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khavanskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hovorunets 1272 vs Khavanskyi 1225
Hovorunets
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hovorunets 80% vs Khavanskyi 20%
Hovorunets
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hovorunets 60% vs Khavanskyi 40%
Hovorunets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hovorunets +2 · Khavanskyi -4
Khavanskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hovorunets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHovorunets 1.83 / Khavanskyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hovorunets)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179796
Hovorunets1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Khavanskyi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHovorunets3wins
AwayKhavanskyi7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHovorunets50%3 of 6
AwayKhavanskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hovorunets6Khavanskyi4n = 10Hovorunets took 6 of 10
S2Hovorunets4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S3Hovorunets8Khavanskyi2n = 10Hovorunets took 8 of 10
S4Hovorunets1Khavanskyi7n = 8Khavanskyi took 7 of 8
S5Hovorunets0Khavanskyi3n = 3Khavanskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHovorunetsKhavanskyiH − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.638.3+0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHovorunetsKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 479 vs 167 / 33048.9%50.6%234 / 479 vs 167 / 330Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HovorunetsHovorunets 1.83/Khavanskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hovorunets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hovorunets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 12:40S. Hovorunets371011881D. Khavanskyi4212811113
LSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets4881211982D. Khavanskyi461110311113
WSep 15 · 12:40S. Hovorunets331111113D. Khavanskyi228680
LSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets4412611782D. Khavanskyi501011711113
WMay 6 · 20:20S. Hovorunets331111113D. Khavanskyi134540
LApr 29 · 20:20S. Hovorunets32481191D. Khavanskyi4011117113
WApr 22 · 16:20S. Hovorunets3911611113D. Khavanskyi31911291
LApr 15 · 20:20S. Hovorunets33871171D. Khavanskyi4211119113
LApr 1 · 15:50S. Hovorunets51127111382D. Khavanskyi521011515113
LDec 20 · 06:50S. Hovorunets361112581D. Khavanskyi4591411113
S. Hovorunets10
LSep 23 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.00121151132S. Semenets1.73146115113WSep 23 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.5011116123V. Stukalov2.503711101WSep 23 · 05:35S. Hovorunets1.91118119113M. Khalenko1.8031161182LSep 22 · 17:40S. Hovorunets1.673720S. Osipov2.101111113WSep 22 · 15:40V. Stukalov2.50610111192S. Hovorunets1.50111295113WSep 22 · 13:40S. Semenets1.6711971182S. Hovorunets2.10811119113LSep 22 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.671011881D. Khavanskyi2.1012811113LSep 16 · 12:50S. Semenets1.61911113113S. Hovorunets2.2011591152LSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113WSep 16 · 09:20V. Kondratenko1.737101161S. Hovorunets2.0011126113
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 23 · 07:05S. Semenets1.8311813113D. Khavanskyi1.835111171LSep 23 · 05:05V. Korniichuk1.4071111113D. Khavanskyi2.75117951LSep 22 · 17:10V. Varchenko2.101111113D. Khavanskyi1.677350LSep 22 · 16:10S. Osipov3.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.366370WSep 22 · 14:40V. Stukalov2.2057120D. Khavanskyi1.611111143WSep 22 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.671011881D. Khavanskyi2.1012811113LSep 22 · 10:40S. Semenets2.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.735550WSep 20 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.44118471D. Khavanskyi2.6391111113WSep 20 · 10:05D. Khavanskyi2.6331111113O. Mytsyk1.44112771WSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113
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