TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Hovorunets vs Serhii Semenets 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Serhii Hovorunets
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214116511115311
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Hovorunets above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 89 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 54.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hovorunets 32–44 Serhii Semenets Serhii Hovorunets has won 32 of their 76 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:30What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Semenets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-44 in 76
Semenets
Correct
gap of 12 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hovorunets 1282 vs Semenets 1319
Semenets
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hovorunets 80% vs Semenets 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hovorunets 60% vs Semenets 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hovorunets +3 · Semenets +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHovorunets 2.00 / Semenets 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Semenets)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13180087
Hovorunets2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 30 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Semenets1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite55% won 95 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it76% 72 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHovorunets5wins
AwaySemenets5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHovorunets66.7%2 of 3
AwaySemenets57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hovorunets3Semenets7n = 10Semenets took 7 of 10
S2Hovorunets4Semenets6n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S3Hovorunets6Semenets4n = 10Hovorunets took 6 of 10
S4Hovorunets3Semenets3n = 6split evenly
S5Hovorunets2Semenets1n = 3Hovorunets took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHovorunetsSemenetsH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.537.4−1.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHovorunetsSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 480 vs 424 / 84149%50.4%235 / 480 vs 424 / 841Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsHovorunets 2.00/Semenets 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 13:40S. Hovorunets50811119113S. Semenets4611971182
LSep 16 · 12:50S. Hovorunets4111591152S. Semenets45911113113
LSep 15 · 17:40S. Hovorunets206860S. Semenets331111113
LSep 9 · 07:35S. Hovorunets3281950S. Semenets431121113
LSep 8 · 19:00S. Hovorunets1610420S. Semenets341211113
WAug 18 · 06:28S. Hovorunets3911611113S. Semenets33911671
LAug 6 · 11:30S. Hovorunets44991791S. Semenets48111115113
WAug 5 · 19:00S. Hovorunets42511114113S. Semenets4111461192
WMar 19 · 08:50S. Hovorunets3851111113S. Semenets34119951
WMar 18 · 16:50S. Hovorunets331111113S. Semenets176650
S. Hovorunets10
WSep 23 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.8341111113D. Khavanskyi1.83114471WSep 23 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.5011116123V. Stukalov2.503711101WSep 23 · 05:35S. Hovorunets1.91118119113M. Khalenko1.8031161182LSep 22 · 17:40S. Hovorunets1.673720S. Osipov2.101111113WSep 22 · 15:40V. Stukalov2.50610111192S. Hovorunets1.50111295113WSep 22 · 13:40S. Semenets1.6711971182S. Hovorunets2.10811119113LSep 22 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.671011881D. Khavanskyi2.1012811113LSep 16 · 12:50S. Semenets1.61911113113S. Hovorunets2.2011591152LSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113WSep 16 · 09:20V. Kondratenko1.737101161S. Hovorunets2.0011126113
S. Semenets10
WSep 23 · 08:05V. Korniichuk1.44681171S. Semenets2.6311115113WSep 23 · 07:05S. Semenets1.8311813113D. Khavanskyi1.835111171WSep 23 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.00411811S. Semenets1.7311811113WSep 22 · 16:40S. Semenets1.731411113V. Stukalov2.0012720LSep 22 · 15:10S. Semenets1.508880V. Varchenko2.501111113LSep 22 · 13:40S. Semenets1.6711971182S. Hovorunets2.10811119113WSep 22 · 12:10S. Semenets1.4411612113S. Osipov2.638111091WSep 22 · 10:40S. Semenets2.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.735550LSep 20 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.33571411113S. Semenets3.25111112682WSep 16 · 12:50S. Semenets1.61911113113S. Hovorunets2.2011591152
Upcoming Matches
S. Hovorunets
Nothing scheduled
S. Semenets
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