TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladyslav Stukalov vs Mykhailo Khalenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911211––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 50 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 67.3%
50 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 31–34 Mykhailo Khalenko Vladyslav Stukalov has won 31 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Khalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-34 in 65
Khalenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1195 vs Khalenko 1313
Khalenko
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 40% vs Khalenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 50% vs Khalenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +2 · Khalenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Khalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.63 / Khalenko 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Khalenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13202878
Stukalov2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 107 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back19% 27 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 88
Khalenko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 54 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov1wins
AwayKhalenko9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhalenko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov33.3%1 of 3
AwayKhalenko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov3Khalenko7n = 10Khalenko took 7 of 10
S2Stukalov3Khalenko7n = 10Khalenko took 7 of 10
S3Stukalov4Khalenko6n = 10Khalenko took 6 of 10
S4Stukalov1Khalenko4n = 5Khalenko took 4 of 5
S5Stukalov0Khalenko3n = 3Khalenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKhalenkoS − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.938.6−7.7per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 842 vs 189 / 36849.6%51.4%418 / 842 vs 189 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoStukalov 2.63/Khalenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 08:00V. Stukalov32312891M. Khalenko43111011113
LSep 23 · 08:35V. Stukalov33851191M. Khalenko3911116113
LSep 20 · 11:35V. Stukalov178180M. Khalenko331111113
LSep 13 · 06:35V. Stukalov229670M. Khalenko331111113
LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov4411911492M. Khalenko43111911113
WAug 30 · 15:40V. Stukalov361213113M. Khalenko29101180
LAug 28 · 09:05V. Stukalov3961161152M. Khalenko50118119113
LAug 24 · 09:05V. Stukalov2061040M. Khalenko341112113
LAug 21 · 05:35V. Stukalov21010110M. Khalenko361112133
LAug 19 · 08:00V. Stukalov45119111132M. Khalenko46611513113
V. Stukalov10
WSep 27 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.571111113S. Kovalenko2.257860WSep 27 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001111113S. Semenets1.739870LSep 24 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.63711116112V. Korniichuk1.44118511133LSep 24 · 09:00V. Mukhin1.22111195113V. Stukalov4.0066111152LSep 24 · 08:00V. Stukalov2.75312891M. Khalenko1.40111011113WSep 24 · 07:00O. Miklukha2.38591861V. Stukalov1.53111116113WSep 24 · 05:30V. Stukalov2.00111310113S. Semenets1.738111291WSep 23 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.381111113D. Khavanskyi1.535340LSep 23 · 09:35V. Korniichuk1.331161110113V. Stukalov3.2541131272LSep 23 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.63851191M. Khalenko1.4411116113
M. Khalenko10
LSep 27 · 07:05V. Nechai1.831110911113M. Khalenko1.8381211992WSep 27 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.7341270M. Khalenko2.001114113LSep 24 · 11:30S. Semenets2.201411113M. Khalenko1.6112980LSep 24 · 10:00M. Khalenko3.007380V. Korniichuk1.361111113WSep 24 · 08:00V. Stukalov2.75312891M. Khalenko1.40111011113LSep 24 · 06:00V. Mukhin1.8011116113M. Khalenko1.91891191WSep 24 · 05:00O. Miklukha2.10511371M. Khalenko1.6711711113WSep 23 · 12:05S. Semenets2.1071040M. Khalenko1.671112113WSep 23 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.331011118113D. Khavanskyi3.2512941192WSep 23 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.63851191M. Khalenko1.4411116113
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