TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykhailo Khalenko vs Vitalii Korniichuk 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Mykhailo Khalenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711311811––––
Vitalii Korniichuk
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:32 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Khalenko above · Vitalii Korniichuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 51 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 76.6%
51 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Khalenko 1–15 Vitalii Korniichuk Mykhailo Khalenko has won 1 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:32What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Korniichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-15 in 16
Korniichuk
Correct
gap of 14 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khalenko 1338 vs Korniichuk 1337
Khalenko
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khalenko 80% vs Korniichuk 40%
Khalenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khalenko 60% vs Korniichuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khalenko +1 · Korniichuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Korniichuk) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korniichuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhalenko 3.00 / Korniichuk 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Korniichuk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13185410
Khalenko3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 61 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Korniichuk1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 61 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhalenko1wins
AwayKorniichuk9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKorniichuk leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhalenko25%1 of 4
AwayKorniichuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khalenko4Korniichuk6n = 10Korniichuk took 6 of 10
S2Khalenko2Korniichuk8n = 10Korniichuk took 8 of 10
S3Khalenko1Korniichuk9n = 10Korniichuk took 9 of 10
S4Khalenko1Korniichuk4n = 5Korniichuk took 4 of 5
S5Khalenko1Korniichuk2n = 3Korniichuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhalenkoKorniichukKhalenko − KorniichukBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.940.7−7.8per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhalenkoKorniichukBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 367 vs 289 / 52251.5%55.4%189 / 367 vs 289 / 522Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukKhalenko 3.00/Korniichuk 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Korniichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 06:35M. Khalenko501212101242V. Korniichuk5710141210113
LSep 3 · 09:05M. Khalenko259970V. Korniichuk331111113
WAug 24 · 05:05M. Khalenko511111135113V. Korniichuk4448151162
LMay 22 · 04:30M. Khalenko2996140V. Korniichuk381111163
LApr 24 · 04:30M. Khalenko2061130V. Korniichuk351113113
LApr 15 · 09:35M. Khalenko2310580V. Korniichuk341211113
LJan 30 · 11:40M. Khalenko34115991V. Korniichuk4291111113
LJan 14 · 12:30M. Khalenko48111187112V. Korniichuk45551111133
LJan 12 · 12:00M. Khalenko130580V. Korniichuk331111113
LJan 5 · 06:35M. Khalenko361331191V. Korniichuk4615119113
M. Khalenko10
WSep 24 · 08:00V. Stukalov2.75312891M. Khalenko1.40111011113LSep 24 · 06:00V. Mukhin1.8011116113M. Khalenko1.91891191WSep 24 · 05:00O. Miklukha2.10511371M. Khalenko1.6711711113WSep 23 · 12:05S. Semenets2.1071040M. Khalenko1.671112113WSep 23 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.331011118113D. Khavanskyi3.2512941192WSep 23 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.63851191M. Khalenko1.4411116113LSep 23 · 06:35V. Korniichuk1.3010141210113M. Khalenko3.401212101242LSep 23 · 05:35S. Hovorunets1.91118119113M. Khalenko1.8031161182WSep 20 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.388180M. Khalenko1.531111113LSep 20 · 10:35S. Semenets2.25114411123M. Khalenko1.57811115102
V. Korniichuk10
WSep 24 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.63711116112V. Korniichuk1.44118511133WSep 24 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.755113121V. Korniichuk1.4011611143LSep 24 · 06:30S. Semenets2.251511113V. Korniichuk1.5713970LSep 24 · 04:30V. Mukhin2.209111110113V. Korniichuk1.6111681242LSep 23 · 11:05V. Korniichuk1.50211411102S. Hovorunets2.50117113123WSep 23 · 09:35V. Korniichuk1.331161110113V. Stukalov3.2541131272LSep 23 · 08:05V. Korniichuk1.44681171S. Semenets2.6311115113WSep 23 · 06:35V. Korniichuk1.3010141210113M. Khalenko3.401212101242WSep 23 · 05:05V. Korniichuk1.4071111113D. Khavanskyi2.75117951WSep 18 · 11:35V. Stukalov3.25111261192V. Korniichuk1.331310115113
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