TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Semenets vs Vitalii Korniichuk 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Serhii Semenets
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1513119117––––
Vitalii Korniichuk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:02 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeVitalii Korniichuk to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Semenets above · Vitalii Korniichuk below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 66 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Vitalii Korniichuk at 59.3%
66 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Semenets 5–7 Vitalii Korniichuk Serhii Semenets has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:02What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Korniichuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Korniichuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semenets 1303 vs Korniichuk 1331
Korniichuk
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semenets 60% vs Korniichuk 40%
Semenets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semenets 60% vs Korniichuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Semenets -2 · Korniichuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Korniichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korniichuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemenets 2.25 / Korniichuk 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Korniichuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13185302
Semenets2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 49 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 46
Korniichuk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 61 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemenets4wins
AwayKorniichuk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKorniichuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemenets75%3 of 4
AwayKorniichuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semenets4Korniichuk6n = 10Korniichuk took 6 of 10
S2Semenets7Korniichuk3n = 10Semenets took 7 of 10
S3Semenets3Korniichuk7n = 10Korniichuk took 7 of 10
S4Semenets4Korniichuk3n = 7Semenets took 4 of 7
S5Semenets1Korniichuk3n = 4Korniichuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemenetsKorniichukS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.639.7−2.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemenetsKorniichukBasisWin rate · lifetime426 / 846 vs 288 / 52150.4%55.3%426 / 846 vs 288 / 521Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorniichukSemenets 2.25/Korniichuk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Korniichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 06:30S. Semenets371511113V. Korniichuk2913970
WSep 23 · 08:05S. Semenets3811115113V. Korniichuk32681171
LSep 18 · 10:35S. Semenets209920V. Korniichuk331111113
LSep 7 · 07:20S. Semenets32912471V. Korniichuk43111011113
LSep 3 · 05:35S. Semenets461011123102V. Korniichuk501251011123
WSep 1 · 08:35S. Semenets51911119113V. Korniichuk4611791182
WAug 24 · 06:35S. Semenets4111118113V. Korniichuk34691181
LMay 19 · 09:05S. Semenets4491321192V. Korniichuk491111115113
LApr 27 · 11:05S. Semenets259970V. Korniichuk331111113
LApr 24 · 10:30S. Semenets4211561192V. Korniichuk48611119113
S. Semenets10
LSep 24 · 07:30V. Mukhin1.5311811113S. Semenets2.38511971LSep 24 · 05:30V. Stukalov2.00111310113S. Semenets1.738111291LSep 23 · 12:05S. Semenets2.1071040M. Khalenko1.671112113WSep 23 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.00121151132S. Semenets1.73146115113WSep 23 · 08:05V. Korniichuk1.44681171S. Semenets2.6311115113WSep 23 · 07:05S. Semenets1.8311813113D. Khavanskyi1.835111171WSep 23 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.00411811S. Semenets1.7311811113WSep 22 · 16:40S. Semenets1.731411113V. Stukalov2.0012720LSep 22 · 15:10S. Semenets1.508880V. Varchenko2.501111113LSep 22 · 13:40S. Semenets1.6711971182S. Hovorunets2.10811119113
V. Korniichuk10
LSep 24 · 04:30V. Mukhin2.209111110113V. Korniichuk1.6111681242LSep 23 · 11:05V. Korniichuk1.50211411102S. Hovorunets2.50117113123WSep 23 · 09:35V. Korniichuk1.331161110113V. Stukalov3.2541131272LSep 23 · 08:05V. Korniichuk1.44681171S. Semenets2.6311115113WSep 23 · 06:35V. Korniichuk1.3010141210113M. Khalenko3.401212101242WSep 23 · 05:05V. Korniichuk1.4071111113D. Khavanskyi2.75117951WSep 18 · 11:35V. Stukalov3.25111261192V. Korniichuk1.331310115113WSep 18 · 10:35S. Semenets2.509920V. Korniichuk1.501111113LSep 18 · 09:05K. Klymenko1.5711117113V. Korniichuk2.25591171WSep 18 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.831141011112V. Korniichuk1.83811129133
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