TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Evzen Rychlik vs Jaroslav Schwan 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116115––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingEvzen Rychlik above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5
49 points played in total.
H2H Evzen Rychlik 8–1 Jaroslav Schwan Jaroslav Schwan has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Rychlik beat Schwan 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Rychlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rychlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRychlik 1.33 / Schwan 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Rychlik)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13201354
Rychlik1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 28 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Schwan3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 17 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeRychlik8wins
AwaySchwan1wins
1 of 9 to a deciderRychlik leads 8–1, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRychlik100%7 of 7
AwaySchwann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rychlik7Schwan2n = 9Rychlik took 7 of 9
S2Rychlik4Schwan5n = 9Schwan took 5 of 9
S3Rychlik7Schwan2n = 9Rychlik took 7 of 9
S4Rychlik6Schwan1n = 7Rychlik took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home556%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricRychlikSchwanR − SBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match38.634.8+3.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRychlikSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 229 vs 139 / 29355.5%47.4%127 / 229 vs 139 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RychlikRychlik 1.33/Schwan 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Rychlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rychlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 26 · 16:00E. Rychlik331111113J. Schwan216780
WApr 18 · 07:30E. Rychlik45144412113J. Schwan511211111072
WFeb 7 · 07:00E. Rychlik331111113J. Schwan227960
LJan 9 · 21:53E. Rychlik261131111J. Schwan4413119113
WJan 9 · 19:30E. Rychlik4316511113J. Schwan401411961
WDec 13 · 09:00E. Rychlik4291111113J. Schwan30117751
WDec 7 · 11:30E. Rychlik4311911123J. Schwan319111101
WNov 21 · 07:00E. Rychlik3711411113J. Schwan35811881
WSep 22 · 10:00E. Rychlik4511158113J. Schwan397131181
E. Rychlik10
WSep 26 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.401111113J. Schwan2.756780LSep 26 · 15:30A. Walek1.83111110113E. Rychlik1.83381241LSep 26 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.579280D. Langer2.251111113WAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.6171080D. Heczko2.201112113LAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850WAug 30 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.801211123R. Skacelik1.91108100WAug 29 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.8387100E. Rychlik1.831111123LAug 29 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.8361151182R. Skacelik1.83118116113WAug 29 · 15:30D. Langer2.10911111432E. Rychlik1.671141312113
J. Schwan10
LSep 26 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.401111113J. Schwan2.756780LSep 26 · 15:00D. Langer1.571113113J. Schwan2.2561180LSep 26 · 14:30J. Schwan2.636811101A. Walek1.4411118123WSep 20 · 08:58J. Schwan1.441111113J. Levicky2.634830WSep 20 · 08:00J. Schwan1.8311811123R. Skacelik1.837118101LSep 20 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.611111113J. Schwan2.205760WSep 20 · 06:00J. Schwan1.50611812113J. Levicky2.50119111012LSep 17 · 17:01R. Skacelik2.00139811113J. Schwan1.73111111872LSep 17 · 16:30J. Schwan1.8310111081R. Skacelik1.8312912113LSep 17 · 15:00J. Schwan2.506460D. Unzeitig1.501111113
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