TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Bohdan Zaika vs Dmytro Patalakha 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
91111911793––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Patalakha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Dmytro Patalakha below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-3
Point 70 set 4, 9-3 — our read held Dmytro Patalakha at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 4–7 Dmytro Patalakha Bohdan Zaika has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:16What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Patalakha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Patalakha
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaika 1487 vs Patalakha 1473
Zaika
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaika 80% vs Patalakha 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaika 70% vs Patalakha 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaika -1 · Patalakha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Patalakha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patalakha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 1.91 / Patalakha 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Patalakha)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13197588
Zaika1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 22 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back23% 8 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Patalakha1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 27 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZaika4wins
AwayPatalakha6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPatalakha leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaika66.7%4 of 6
AwayPatalakha100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaika6Patalakha4n = 10Zaika took 6 of 10
S2Zaika7Patalakha3n = 10Zaika took 7 of 10
S3Zaika5Patalakha5n = 10split evenly
S4Zaika1Patalakha3n = 4Patalakha took 3 of 4
S5Zaika0Patalakha3n = 3Patalakha took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZaikaPatalakhaZ − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.233.5+2.7per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaPatalakhaBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 555 vs 116 / 24250.3%47.9%279 / 555 vs 116 / 242Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatalakhaZaika 1.91/Patalakha 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Patalakha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zaika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 26 · 10:20B. Zaika4111115682D. Patalakha42721111113
LJul 25 · 18:00B. Zaika51131181182D. Patalakha55159119113
LJun 6 · 20:50B. Zaika341171061D. Patalakha4061112113
LApr 5 · 07:50B. Zaika471011111142D. Patalakha49127613113
LApr 4 · 18:50B. Zaika226970D. Patalakha331111113
WFeb 7 · 21:20B. Zaika331111113D. Patalakha165560
WFeb 16 · 10:20B. Zaika341112113D. Patalakha1101010
WFeb 15 · 17:50B. Zaika351211123D. Patalakha25105100
LJan 18 · 18:50B. Zaika2511860D. Patalakha351311113
WJan 11 · 18:50B. Zaika401511143D. Patalakha29134120
B. Zaika10
LSep 26 · 14:30B. Zaika3.5013450O. Osadchyi1.28151163WSep 26 · 12:30B. Zaika1.57118118113S. Solomko2.2581181182WSep 19 · 18:00A. Martyniuk2.633131111102B. Zaika1.441111136123WSep 19 · 17:00B. Zaika1.4011119123E. Populovskyi2.758911101WSep 19 · 16:00B. Zaika1.3311119113S. Baranskyi3.25641171WSep 19 · 14:30B. Zaika1.731112111093O. Lipeiko2.0081451252WSep 19 · 12:30B. Zaika1.6711114113S. Solomko2.10861181LSep 16 · 18:30B. Zaika1.5310811111A. Kurtenko2.3812118133LSep 16 · 16:30F. Voinarovskyi3.2511116113B. Zaika1.33481181WSep 16 · 15:30B. Zaika1.281111113O. Ovsiienko3.507780
D. Patalakha10
LSep 26 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.301112113D. Patalakha3.4071040WSep 26 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.57101181292D. Patalakha2.251241110103WSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171LSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113LSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113WSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591LSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621WSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690
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