TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Tymofeev vs Dmytro Patalakha 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210114––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Tymofeev to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Tymofeev above · Dmytro Patalakha below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 55 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Tymofeev at 76.6%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Tymofeev 13–1 Dmytro Patalakha Dmytro Patalakha has won 1 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Tymofeev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-1 in 14
Tymofeev
Correct
gap of 12 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymofeev 1586 vs Patalakha 1492
Tymofeev
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymofeev 100% vs Patalakha 80%
Tymofeev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymofeev 90% vs Patalakha 70%
Tymofeev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymofeev +7 · Patalakha +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Tymofeev) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patalakha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymofeev 1.30 / Patalakha 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Tymofeev)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13196253
Tymofeev1.30
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 85 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it90% 61 of 68
Patalakha3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 16 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back27% 7 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTymofeev9wins
AwayPatalakha1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTymofeev leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymofeev100%7 of 7
AwayPatalakha33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymofeev7Patalakha3n = 10Tymofeev took 7 of 10
S2Tymofeev8Patalakha2n = 10Tymofeev took 8 of 10
S3Tymofeev6Patalakha1n = 7Tymofeev took 6 of 7
S4Tymofeev4Patalakha0n = 4Tymofeev took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTymofeevPatalakhaT − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.631.0+7.6per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymofeevPatalakhaBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 524 vs 116 / 24152.9%48.1%277 / 524 vs 116 / 241Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevTymofeev 1.30/Patalakha 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 5 · 13:00O. Tymofeev42191111102D. Patalakha47111149123
WAug 2 · 09:00O. Tymofeev521112711113D. Patalakha4561411682
WJul 26 · 08:50O. Tymofeev3851111113D. Patalakha34119951
WJul 12 · 06:50O. Tymofeev331111113D. Patalakha165470
WApr 4 · 16:50O. Tymofeev3741111113D. Patalakha32116691
WFeb 8 · 11:20O. Tymofeev351311113D. Patalakha2411760
WJan 11 · 08:50O. Tymofeev331111113D. Patalakha195950
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 26 · 13:00O. Osadchyi1.837117101O. Tymofeev1.8311911123WSep 16 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.911111113O. Ovsiienko1.807580WSep 16 · 15:00F. Voinarovskyi2.754680O. Tymofeev1.401111113WSep 16 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.531111113A. Kurtenko2.383930WSep 16 · 13:00B. Zaika2.751011114102O. Tymofeev1.40127911123WSep 13 · 12:20O. Tymofeev1.5091113103S. Solomko2.501141181WSep 13 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.67115591O. Tymofeev2.1091111113LSep 13 · 09:20O. Tymofeev2.25118115102E. Populovskyi1.57811611123WSep 13 · 08:20A. Martyniuk1.611110551O. Tymofeev2.2041211113WSep 13 · 06:50O. Tymofeev1.5751111113A. Kurtenko2.25119921
D. Patalakha10
WSep 26 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.57101181292D. Patalakha2.251241110103WSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171LSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113LSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113WSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591LSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621WSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690WSep 5 · 14:30V. Smyk2.388118111D. Patalakha1.5311711133
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.