TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Postelt vs Kamil Novak 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115119––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Kamil Novak below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9
58 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 17–5 Kamil Novak Kamil Novak has won 5 of their 22 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Postelt beat Novak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Postelt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.72 / Novak 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Postelt)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13197052
Postelt1.72
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 119 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 91 of 106
Novak2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog21% won 5 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt8wins
AwayNovak2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt100%5 of 5
AwayNovak40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt5Novak5n = 10split evenly
S2Postelt6Novak4n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S3Postelt8Novak2n = 10Postelt took 8 of 10
S4Postelt3Novak3n = 6split evenly
S5Postelt3Novak0n = 3Postelt took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltNovakP − NBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.835.6+5.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime426 / 808 vs 131 / 27752.7%47.3%426 / 808 vs 131 / 277Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.72/Novak 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 25 · 20:00V. Postelt551213136113K. Novak561015111192
WNov 29 · 04:00V. Postelt49711911113K. Novak4611911692
LAug 31 · 18:30V. Postelt334712101K. Novak44111110123
WAug 21 · 02:30V. Postelt341211113K. Novak1710160
WJun 7 · 22:30V. Postelt4611615143K. Novak4591113121
WJun 1 · 22:00V. Postelt331111113K. Novak164660
LMay 27 · 18:00V. Postelt389117111K. Novak4211711133
WApr 29 · 01:00V. Postelt46671111113K. Novak3511114452
WMar 22 · 04:30V. Postelt331111113K. Novak193790
V. Postelt10
WSep 25 · 20:00K. Novak3.401015111192V. Postelt1.301213136113LSep 25 · 19:00M. Kolar2.101111113V. Postelt1.675680LSep 25 · 18:30V. Postelt1.4413911101J. Dedek2.6315114123LSep 21 · 03:12D. Kouble1.44111111153V. Postelt2.631379131WSep 21 · 02:00V. Postelt1.7311127123J. Prokupek2.0081011101LSep 21 · 01:00V. Postelt2.00111171452P. Zmuda1.73871116113LSep 21 · 00:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360LSep 20 · 22:30D. Kouble1.50611811113V. Postelt2.5011411532WSep 20 · 20:58V. Postelt1.6111711113P. Budinsky2.20911631WSep 20 · 20:00V. Postelt1.8311911113J. Stolfa1.83911581
K. Novak10
LSep 25 · 20:00K. Novak3.401015111192V. Postelt1.301213136113LSep 25 · 19:30J. Dedek2.10121211113K. Novak1.671410491LSep 25 · 18:00K. Novak1.61112891M. Kolar2.20111011113LSep 19 · 16:59P. Budinsky1.4091111123K. Novak2.751138101LSep 19 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.361111113K. Novak3.008750LSep 19 · 15:30K. Novak2.2559111282J. Trefny1.571111910113LSep 19 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk2.1011611113K. Novak1.67911781LSep 11 · 21:28K. Novak1.538870L. Krok2.381111113WSep 11 · 20:00L. Krok1.73113721K. Novak2.0041111113WSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113
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