TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Kamil Novak vs Vladimir Postelt 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
101215131113116911
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 75.8% is still 75.8%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
75.8%
75.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Novak above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 111 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 75.8%
111 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Novak 5–17 Vladimir Postelt Kamil Novak has won 5 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-17 in 22
Postelt
Correct
gap of 12 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novak 1368 vs Postelt 1462
Postelt
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novak 0% vs Postelt 20%
Postelt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novak 30% vs Postelt 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Novak -7 · Postelt -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Postelt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (20%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovak 3.40 / Postelt 1.30
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Postelt)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189376
Novak3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 5 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Postelt1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 119 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 91 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNovak2wins
AwayPostelt8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovak40%2 of 5
AwayPostelt100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novak5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S2Novak4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S3Novak2Postelt8n = 10Postelt took 8 of 10
S4Novak3Postelt3n = 6split evenly
S5Novak0Postelt3n = 3Postelt took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNovakPosteltN − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.640.8−5.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 277 vs 426 / 80847.3%52.7%131 / 277 vs 426 / 808Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltNovak 3.40/Postelt 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 25 · 20:00K. Novak561015111192V. Postelt551213136113
LNov 29 · 04:00K. Novak4611911692V. Postelt49711911113
WAug 31 · 18:30K. Novak44111110123V. Postelt334712101
LAug 21 · 02:30K. Novak1710160V. Postelt341211113
LJun 7 · 22:30K. Novak4591113121V. Postelt4611615143
LJun 1 · 22:00K. Novak164660V. Postelt331111113
WMay 27 · 18:00K. Novak4211711133V. Postelt389117111
LApr 29 · 01:00K. Novak3511114452V. Postelt46671111113
LMar 22 · 04:30K. Novak193790V. Postelt331111113
K. Novak10
LSep 25 · 21:09V. Postelt1.721211113K. Novak2.0010590LSep 25 · 19:30J. Dedek2.10121211113K. Novak1.671410491LSep 25 · 18:00K. Novak1.61112891M. Kolar2.20111011113LSep 19 · 16:59P. Budinsky1.4091111123K. Novak2.751138101LSep 19 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.361111113K. Novak3.008750LSep 19 · 15:30K. Novak2.2559111282J. Trefny1.571111910113LSep 19 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk2.1011611113K. Novak1.67911781LSep 11 · 21:28K. Novak1.538870L. Krok2.381111113WSep 11 · 20:00L. Krok1.73113721K. Novak2.0041111113WSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113
V. Postelt10
WSep 25 · 21:09V. Postelt1.721211113K. Novak2.0010590LSep 25 · 19:00M. Kolar2.101111113V. Postelt1.675680LSep 25 · 18:30V. Postelt1.4413911101J. Dedek2.6315114123LSep 21 · 03:12D. Kouble1.44111111153V. Postelt2.631379131WSep 21 · 02:00V. Postelt1.7311127123J. Prokupek2.0081011101LSep 21 · 01:00V. Postelt2.00111171452P. Zmuda1.73871116113LSep 21 · 00:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360LSep 20 · 22:30D. Kouble1.50611811113V. Postelt2.5011411532WSep 20 · 20:58V. Postelt1.6111711113P. Budinsky2.20911631WSep 20 · 20:00V. Postelt1.8311911113J. Stolfa1.83911581
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