TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Postelt vs Jiri Dedek 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13159111141012––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 85 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 57.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 22–8 Jiri Dedek Jiri Dedek has won 8 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:40What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Postelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-8 in 30
Postelt
Wrong
gap of 14 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1492 vs Dedek 1448
Postelt
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 20% vs Dedek 40%
Dedek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 50% vs Dedek 30%
Postelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt -1 · Dedek -3
Dedek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.44 / Dedek 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Postelt)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13188177
Postelt1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 119 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 91 of 106
Dedek2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 24)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 78 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt7wins
AwayDedek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt87.5%7 of 8
AwayDedekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt8Dedek2n = 10Postelt took 8 of 10
S2Postelt6Dedek4n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S3Postelt6Dedek4n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S4Postelt3Dedek2n = 5Postelt took 3 of 5
S5Postelt2Dedek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltDedekP − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.430.4+6.0per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime428 / 810 vs 486 / 94252.8%51.6%428 / 810 vs 486 / 942Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.44/Dedek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt4587111182J. Dedek41111144113
WSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt331111113J. Dedek198470
LSep 8 · 02:30V. Postelt198380J. Dedek331111113
WSep 4 · 20:00V. Postelt331111113J. Dedek217680
WAug 18 · 10:00V. Postelt44116115113J. Dedek3741181132
WAug 15 · 02:58V. Postelt3711114113J. Dedek28641171
WAug 15 · 01:00V. Postelt331111113J. Dedek257990
WJul 5 · 21:30V. Postelt511111711113J. Dedek3941311562
LJul 5 · 19:30V. Postelt3611112842J. Dedek49791111113
WJun 21 · 22:00V. Postelt331111113J. Dedek122190
V. Postelt10
LSep 25 · 19:00M. Kolar2.101111113V. Postelt1.675680LSep 21 · 03:12D. Kouble1.44111111153V. Postelt2.631379131WSep 21 · 02:00V. Postelt1.7311127123J. Prokupek2.0081011101LSep 21 · 01:00V. Postelt2.00111171452P. Zmuda1.73871116113LSep 21 · 00:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360LSep 20 · 22:30D. Kouble1.50611811113V. Postelt2.5011411532WSep 20 · 20:58V. Postelt1.6111711113P. Budinsky2.20911631WSep 20 · 20:00V. Postelt1.8311911113J. Stolfa1.83911581LSep 20 · 19:30R. Pavelka1.911111113V. Postelt1.807570WSep 20 · 18:00V. Postelt1.8071111113P. Budinsky1.91119561
J. Dedek10
WSep 25 · 19:30J. Dedek2.10121211113K. Novak1.671410491LSep 24 · 01:30J. Dedek2.5051191172J. Trefny1.50119117113LSep 24 · 00:30K. Darin2.00111196113J. Dedek1.7388111162LSep 23 · 23:30J. Prokupek1.9111911113J. Dedek1.80911651WSep 23 · 22:30J. Dedek1.83111433113P. Klusacek1.83912111172WSep 21 · 12:58J. Dedek1.7371111113K. Darin2.00112991LSep 21 · 12:30J. Dedek1.73981121L. Babicka2.0011119113LSep 21 · 11:00J. Dedek2.00531111142J. Plachy1.73111197163WSep 21 · 10:00K. Darin1.738550J. Dedek2.001111113LSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191
Upcoming Matches
V. Postelt
J. Dedek
Sep 25 · 20:30J. Dedek2.25M. Kolar1.57—Sep 26 · 14:30J. Dedek2.00J. Plachy1.73—Sep 26 · 15:30J. Dedek3.40J. Stolfa1.30—Sep 26 · 16:30J. Dedek2.25M. Kolar1.57—Sep 26 · 22:00J. Dedek2.20T. Varnuska1.61—Sep 26 · 23:00J. Dedek2.00J. Plachy1.73—Sep 27 · 00:30J. Dedek1.73A. Mikuska2.00—Sep 27 · 02:00J. Dedek2.25M. Kolar1.57—
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