TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Kyryl Darin vs Jiri Dedek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118118911611116
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:21 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 37–49 Jiri Dedek Kyryl Darin has won 37 of their 86 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:21What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dedek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-49 in 86
Dedek
Wrong
gap of 12 in 86, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1511 vs Dedek 1464
Darin
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 60% vs Dedek 40%
Darin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 50% vs Dedek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -1 · Dedek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 2.00 / Dedek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dedek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178890
Darin2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 174 of 433
Down 0–1, comes back19% 47 of 244
Down 0–2, comes back5% 8 of 153
Dedek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 139 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it98% 78 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it81% 105 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin4wins
AwayDedek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin66.7%4 of 6
AwayDedek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin6Dedek4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Darin5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin4Dedek6n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S4Darin2Dedek4n = 6Dedek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinDedekDarin − DedekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match30.932.6−1.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime772 / 1573 vs 486 / 94049.1%51.7%772 / 1573 vs 486 / 940Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDarin 2.00/Dedek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 12:58K. Darin31112991J. Dedek4071111113
LSep 21 · 10:00K. Darin188550J. Dedek331111113
WSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin3811115113J. Dedek27611191
WSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin331111113J. Dedek226880
LSep 2 · 13:00K. Darin3810111161J. Dedek3912313113
LSep 2 · 10:00K. Darin3213311232J. Dedek521111811113
LAug 27 · 12:58K. Darin188550J. Dedek331111113
WAug 27 · 12:30K. Darin4011611123J. Dedek313117101
LAug 24 · 01:00K. Darin28711641J. Dedek3411111113
WAug 21 · 20:58K. Darin331111113J. Dedek155730
K. Darin10
LSep 23 · 23:00K. Darin2.6311119432J. Trefny1.44491111113WSep 23 · 22:00J. Prokupek1.6791110111K. Darin2.1011512133LSep 23 · 13:28K. Darin2.2581191162J. Plachy1.57119119113WSep 23 · 12:30K. Darin2.38101111113J. Plachy1.53128851WSep 23 · 11:00K. Darin2.50117811113M. Vedmoch1.5041111772WSep 23 · 10:00J. Prokupek1.57261121K. Darin2.2511117113LSep 21 · 16:58K. Darin1.836912121Y. Holovatiuk1.83111110143LSep 21 · 16:00J. Plachy1.531112113K. Darin2.3881050WSep 21 · 15:00Y. Holovatiuk1.835101151K. Darin1.8311128113LSep 21 · 14:30K. Darin1.73118861L. Babicka2.0081111113
J. Dedek10
LSep 24 · 01:30J. Dedek2.5051191172J. Trefny1.50119117113LSep 23 · 23:30J. Prokupek1.9111911113J. Dedek1.80911651WSep 23 · 22:30J. Dedek1.83111433113P. Klusacek1.83912111172WSep 21 · 12:58J. Dedek1.7371111113K. Darin2.00112991LSep 21 · 12:30J. Dedek1.73981121L. Babicka2.0011119113LSep 21 · 11:00J. Dedek2.00531111142J. Plachy1.73111197163WSep 21 · 10:00K. Darin1.738550J. Dedek2.001111113LSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191LSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin2.001111113J. Dedek1.736880WSep 20 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk2.20111191292J. Dedek1.61441114113
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