TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210115––––
Kyryl Darin
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:35 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 57 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 60.8%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 33–36 Kyryl Darin Jiri Plachy has won 33 of their 69 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Darin beat Plachy 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-36 in 69
Darin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1543 vs Darin 1477
Plachy
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 60% vs Darin 40%
Plachy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 60% vs Darin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy -1 · Darin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Plachy)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.53 / Darin 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Plachy)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165662
Plachy1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 128 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it97% 64 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it88% 94 of 107
Darin2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 174 of 433
Down 0–1, comes back19% 47 of 245
Down 0–2, comes back6% 9 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy7wins
AwayDarin3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPlachy leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy85.7%6 of 7
AwayDarin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy7Darin3n = 10Plachy took 7 of 10
S2Plachy9Darin1n = 10Plachy took 9 of 10
S3Plachy8Darin2n = 10Plachy took 8 of 10
S4Plachy2Darin3n = 5Darin took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyDarinP − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.931.4+5.5per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime738 / 1591 vs 772 / 157746.4%49%738 / 1591 vs 772 / 1577Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyPlachy 1.53/Darin 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 12:00J. Plachy3411711502K. Darin44811311113
WSep 5 · 20:30J. Plachy4211118123K. Darin315511101
WSep 2 · 12:30J. Plachy351111133K. Darin1843110
WSep 1 · 12:59J. Plachy43101111113K. Darin34129761
WSep 1 · 12:30J. Plachy341211113K. Darin2210570
WAug 29 · 20:30J. Plachy331111113K. Darin218940
LAug 27 · 17:01J. Plachy30711571K. Darin3911611113
WAug 27 · 14:30J. Plachy331111113K. Darin229940
LAug 27 · 11:00J. Plachy50141212482K. Darin5816101011113
WAug 24 · 02:30J. Plachy351311113K. Darin2511590
J. Plachy10
LSep 21 · 15:30L. Babicka1.9111146113J. Plachy1.809121161WSep 21 · 14:00J. Plachy1.611111113Y. Holovatiuk2.209880WSep 21 · 13:28J. Plachy1.8011101111113L. Babicka1.9113126462LSep 21 · 12:00K. Darin2.38811311113J. Plachy1.5311711502WSep 21 · 11:00J. Dedek2.00531111142J. Plachy1.73111197163WSep 21 · 10:30J. Plachy1.801111113L. Babicka1.918930LSep 14 · 03:30V. Postelt1.651111113J. Plachy2.071540WSep 14 · 02:00J. Plachy1.8381111113J. Prokupek1.83114611WSep 14 · 01:00J. Plachy1.671111113J. Dedek2.104560LSep 14 · 24:00V. Postelt1.6111415163J. Plachy2.2011113141
K. Darin10
WSep 21 · 15:00Y. Holovatiuk1.835101151K. Darin1.8311128113LSep 21 · 14:30K. Darin1.73118861L. Babicka2.0081111113LSep 21 · 12:58J. Dedek1.7371111113K. Darin2.00112991WSep 21 · 12:00K. Darin2.38811311113J. Plachy1.5311711502LSep 21 · 11:30L. Babicka2.001111113K. Darin1.736980LSep 21 · 10:00K. Darin1.738550J. Dedek2.001111113WSep 20 · 02:59K. Darin1.8011115113J. Dedek1.91611191WSep 20 · 02:30K. Darin2.001111113J. Dedek1.736880LSep 20 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.50111011113K. Darin2.50412751WSep 20 · 24:00K. Darin1.911111113Y. Holovatiuk1.807370
Upcoming Matches
J. Plachy
K. Darin
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