TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kaczmarek vs Yurij Fomin 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1198111012211––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:05 and never touched — 64.2% is still 64.2%
Graded at full timeYurij Fomin to win
64.2%
64.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1198111012211––
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 3–23 Yurij Fomin Jakub Kaczmarek has won 3 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:05What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-23 in 26
Fomin
Correct
gap of 20 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1350 vs Fomin 1261
Kaczmarek
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 40% vs Fomin 20%
Kaczmarek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 40% vs Fomin 20%
Kaczmarek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek -1 · Fomin -3
Fomin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 2.25 / Fomin 1.55
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Fomin)-0.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13192719
Kaczmarek2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 173 of 503
Down 0–1, comes back18% 56 of 317
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 179
Fomin1.55
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 88 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it89% 57 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek1wins
AwayFomin9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayFomin88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek1Fomin9n = 10Fomin took 9 of 10
S2Kaczmarek3Fomin7n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S3Kaczmarek2Fomin8n = 10Fomin took 8 of 10
S4Kaczmarek2Fomin3n = 5Fomin took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekFominK − FBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match28.738.1−9.4per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekFominBasisWin rate · lifetime497 / 1330 vs 261 / 53937.4%48.4%497 / 1330 vs 261 / 539Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominKaczmarek 2.25/Fomin 1.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.3%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek4691111153Y. Fomin401197131
LAug 26 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2311480Y. Fomin351311113
LJul 1 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek228860Y. Fomin331111113
LJun 15 · 10:40J. Kaczmarek2511860Y. Fomin351311113
LApr 27 · 13:30J. Kaczmarek44610111162Y. Fomin46111266113
LApr 27 · 07:30J. Kaczmarek27115741Y. Fomin3741111113
LMar 16 · 14:55J. Kaczmarek175570Y. Fomin331111113
LMar 16 · 08:55J. Kaczmarek22312251Y. Fomin43111011113
LNov 21 · 08:10J. Kaczmarek3911111251Y. Fomin4613814113
LOct 10 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek225890Y. Fomin331111113
J. Kaczmarek10
LSep 25 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek4.105911111M. Lebek1.1811118133WSep 24 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.8511121313113J. Nowak1.85714151182LSep 24 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.9010101117112R. Skotniczny1.351212715133WSep 24 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek1.88113611173A. Burkacki1.82411118152LSep 24 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.258280M. Lebek1.271111113WSep 24 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek1.761112113O. Sokolowski1.9061060LSep 22 · 08:45I. Szymanski2.551111113J. Kaczmarek1.459790WSep 22 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek3.45111411133K. Hetnar1.269167111LSep 22 · 06:25K. Kowalski3.7511711113J. Kaczmarek1.22611891LSep 22 · 05:10R. Gajda1.8311611113J. Kaczmarek1.87911691
Y. Fomin10
LSep 25 · 03:35Y. Fomin1.558980J. Nowak2.251111113LSep 18 · 08:20M. Adamus1.90137511123Y. Fomin1.801111119102LSep 18 · 07:35P. Polok1.4011611143Y. Fomin2.529119121WSep 18 · 05:35P. Kurek1.668970Y. Fomin2.001111113LSep 18 · 04:50M. Lebek1.5711119133Y. Fomin2.209411111LSep 18 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.3291111153Y. Fomin1.491197131LSep 14 · 16:20Y. Fomin2.257950G. Wichowski1.541111113LSep 14 · 15:05Y. Fomin1.627570P. Mecik2.081111113LSep 14 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.746960M. Baron1.951111113WSep 14 · 12:45W. Tobiasz1.95511461Y. Fomin1.7011611113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.