TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Igor Szymanski vs Jakub Kaczmarek 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
2.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117119––––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
1.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:23 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Kaczmarek to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
119117119––––
H2H Igor Szymanski 2–8 Jakub Kaczmarek Igor Szymanski has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Kaczmarek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Kaczmarek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1166 vs Kaczmarek 1388
Kaczmarek
Wrong
both rated, 222 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 60% vs Kaczmarek 40%
Szymanski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 50% vs Kaczmarek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski +1 · Kaczmarek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kaczmarek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 2.55 / Kaczmarek 1.45
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Kaczmarek)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13175769
Szymanski2.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog21% won 82 of 386
Down 0–1, comes back11% 28 of 262
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 188
Kaczmarek1.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 70 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it83% 59 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymanski2wins
AwayKaczmarek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKaczmarek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski50%2 of 4
AwayKaczmarek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski4Kaczmarek6n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S2Szymanski3Kaczmarek7n = 10Kaczmarek took 7 of 10
S3Szymanski2Kaczmarek8n = 10Kaczmarek took 8 of 10
S4Szymanski2Kaczmarek3n = 5Kaczmarek took 3 of 5
S5Szymanski1Kaczmarek2n = 3Kaczmarek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymanskiKaczmarekS − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.039.7−4.7per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 425 vs 498 / 133323.3%37.4%99 / 425 vs 498 / 1333Avg sets wonper match1.31.6per matchAvg pointsper match33.135.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczmarekSzymanski 2.55/Kaczmarek 1.45
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.1%
Kaczmarek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 16:55I. Szymanski269980J. Kaczmarek331111113
LJul 24 · 09:50I. Szymanski50119811112J. Kaczmarek51811118133
LJul 24 · 05:40I. Szymanski43111012372J. Kaczmarek539121011113
WJul 22 · 10:35I. Szymanski331111113J. Kaczmarek175480
LJul 22 · 03:00I. Szymanski2511590J. Kaczmarek351311113
LJul 15 · 24:10I. Szymanski377111181J. Kaczmarek4411913113
LJul 14 · 20:30I. Szymanski408117141J. Kaczmarek4411611163
LJul 1 · 06:45I. Szymanski2610880J. Kaczmarek341211113
LJun 18 · 11:00I. Szymanski2456130J. Kaczmarek371111153
WJun 18 · 04:55I. Szymanski46116611123J. Kaczmarek49911118102
I. Szymanski10
WSep 22 · 07:10I. Szymanski1.6371111113K. Kowalski2.15118781LSep 22 · 06:00I. Szymanski3.55126231R. Gajda1.18101111113WSep 22 · 04:25I. Szymanski2.50711119113A. Ruszkiewicz1.4511871152LSep 22 · 03:10I. Szymanski4.35411111232K. Hetnar1.16119614113WSep 19 · 02:10I. Szymanski3.751111136123M. Baron1.251391111102WSep 19 · 24:35J. Nowak1.5792110I. Szymanski2.251111133LSep 18 · 23:45K. Durak1.201111113I. Szymanski4.336910WSep 18 · 22:55I. Szymanski3.501211113R. Szymik1.2810750LSep 18 · 21:45I. Szymanski1.441312111192A. Szurgot2.631510813113LSep 18 · 20:05I. Szymanski2.639490M. Baron1.441111113
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 22 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek3.45111411133K. Hetnar1.269167111LSep 22 · 06:25K. Kowalski3.7511711113J. Kaczmarek1.22611891LSep 22 · 05:10R. Gajda1.8311611113J. Kaczmarek1.87911691WSep 22 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.00111151082J. Kaczmarek1.70691112113LSep 21 · 17:05P. Ostachowski—511711113J. Kaczmarek—11511122WSep 21 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek1.861111113W. Tobiasz1.833980LSep 21 · 14:45O. Jadach1.351111113J. Kaczmarek3.009870WSep 21 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.4571250J. Kaczmarek2.551114113LSep 21 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.36611511113J. Kaczmarek2.9011811372WSep 21 · 11:05O. Jadach1.455580J. Kaczmarek2.451111113
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