TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adam Ruszkiewicz vs Jakub Kaczmarek 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161195111012811
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
1161195111012811
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 20–17 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:19What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Kaczmarek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-17 in 37
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1343 vs Kaczmarek 1400
Kaczmarek
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 60% vs Kaczmarek 40%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 50% vs Kaczmarek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz +1 · Kaczmarek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kaczmarek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 2.00 / Kaczmarek 1.70
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kaczmarek)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13173097
Ruszkiewicz2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 145 of 349
Down 0–1, comes back23% 42 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 101
Kaczmarek1.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 69 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it83% 59 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz5wins
AwayKaczmarek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz71.4%5 of 7
AwayKaczmarek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz7Kaczmarek3n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 7 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz4Kaczmarek6n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz4Kaczmarek6n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz4Kaczmarek3n = 7Ruszkiewicz took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczKaczmarekR − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.435.0+1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 870 vs 496 / 132937.5%37.3%326 / 870 vs 496 / 1329Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.835.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczmarekRuszkiewicz 2.00/Kaczmarek 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Kaczmarek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 20:20A. Ruszkiewicz239590J. Kaczmarek331111113
WSep 15 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz4111811113J. Kaczmarek32811581
WSep 8 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz4011711113J. Kaczmarek29511761
LSep 1 · 08:45A. Ruszkiewicz409119111J. Kaczmarek4311811133
LAug 11 · 08:45A. Ruszkiewicz2714670J. Kaczmarek381611113
LAug 6 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz4411811862J. Kaczmarek46511811113
WAug 4 · 03:10A. Ruszkiewicz4111118113J. Kaczmarek33981151
LJul 28 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz35139761J. Kaczmarek44111111113
WJul 21 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz4011117113J. Kaczmarek28831161
WJul 7 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz331111113J. Kaczmarek249690
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WSep 19 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz1.601111113R. Adach2.157960LSep 19 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.898117101K. Juszczyk1.8211411123LSep 19 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.6111139952G. Sawicki1.977111111113WSep 19 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.85111110113D. Fira1.70781281WSep 18 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.95118129123O. Sokolowski1.626111011102WSep 18 · 22:20D. Fira1.86112641A. Ruszkiewicz1.8331111113WSep 18 · 21:30K. Juszczyk1.50114811A. Ruszkiewicz2.3571111113LSep 18 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.657690R. Adach2.051111113LSep 18 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.0071171192O. Sokolowski1.71118114113LSep 18 · 18:20G. Sawicki2.0011911123A. Ruszkiewicz1.719113101
J. Kaczmarek10
LSep 21 · 17:05P. Ostachowski—511711113J. Kaczmarek—11511122WSep 21 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek1.861111113W. Tobiasz1.833980LSep 21 · 14:45O. Jadach1.351111113J. Kaczmarek3.009870WSep 21 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.4571250J. Kaczmarek2.551114113LSep 21 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.36611511113J. Kaczmarek2.9011811372WSep 21 · 11:05O. Jadach1.455580J. Kaczmarek2.451111113WSep 21 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek1.861111411113W. Tobiasz1.8313511872LSep 21 · 08:45P. Ostachowski—1111113J. Kaczmarek—9650WSep 21 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.369121291J. Kaczmarek2.85111014113WSep 21 · 05:55G. Wichowski1.29511761J. Kaczmarek2.8511511113
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