TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154149
Played Sep 19Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171181012118––
Damian Fira
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1171181012118––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 27–12 Damian Fira Damian Fira has won 12 of their 39 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Ruszkiewicz beat Fira 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (52%)
Fira
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-12 in 39
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
gap of 15 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1348 vs Fira 1304
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 60% vs Fira 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 50% vs Fira 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz +3 · Fira +1
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruszkiewicz)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 1.85 / Fira 1.70
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)+6.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13154149
Ruszkiewicz1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 142 of 347
Down 0–1, comes back23% 41 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 103
Fira1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 42 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz7wins
AwayFira3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRuszkiewicz leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz100%6 of 6
AwayFira75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz6Fira4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz5Fira5n = 10split evenly
S3Ruszkiewicz6Fira4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz5Fira3n = 8Ruszkiewicz took 5 of 8
S5Ruszkiewicz2Fira1n = 3Ruszkiewicz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczFiraR − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.936.4+3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczFiraBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 866 vs 199 / 45537.4%43.7%324 / 866 vs 199 / 455Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczRuszkiewicz 1.85/Fira 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 22:20A. Ruszkiewicz3631111113D. Fira23112641
WAug 21 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz481110115113D. Fira4481251182
WAug 21 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz3711114113D. Fira32961161
LAug 8 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz30661261D. Fira43111110113
WAug 7 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz361111143D. Fira2998120
WAug 2 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz511161211113D. Fira4671114772
WAug 1 · 18:20A. Ruszkiewicz4211117133D. Fira334711111
LAug 1 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz49111111882D. Fira46135611113
LJul 31 · 18:20A. Ruszkiewicz2881370D. Fira371115113
WJul 24 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz4211911113D. Fira31811661
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WSep 18 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.95118129123O. Sokolowski1.626111011102WSep 18 · 22:20D. Fira1.86112641A. Ruszkiewicz1.8331111113WSep 18 · 21:30K. Juszczyk1.50114811A. Ruszkiewicz2.3571111113LSep 18 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.657690R. Adach2.051111113LSep 18 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.0071171192O. Sokolowski1.71118114113LSep 18 · 18:20G. Sawicki2.0011911123A. Ruszkiewicz1.719113101LSep 16 · 20:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.769590J. Kaczmarek1.901111113LSep 16 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.321611143A. Ruszkiewicz2.90147120WSep 16 · 18:00O. Sokolowski1.701379121A. Ruszkiewicz1.95111111143WSep 16 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.001112113M. Adamus1.7391080
D. Fira10
WSep 18 · 23:55D. Fira1.77811811113R. Adach1.9311911742LSep 18 · 22:20D. Fira1.86112641A. Ruszkiewicz1.8331111113WSep 18 · 21:05D. Fira1.711111113G. Sawicki2.008570WSep 18 · 19:55D. Fira1.801110116113O. Sokolowski1.8591271192LSep 18 · 18:45K. Juszczyk1.5011119113D. Fira2.40871171WSep 18 · 17:55D. Fira1.601111113R. Adach2.109630LSep 5 · 04:40K. Juszczyk1.23111211133D. Fira3.6013109111WSep 5 · 03:55J. Michalski2.2011960D. Fira1.571311113LSep 5 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4611311113D. Fira2.54911631LSep 5 · 01:10R. Wiza2.001191210113D. Fira1.71711101292
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