TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147255
Played Sep 18Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1199111131210––
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Away
1.71
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Sawicki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1199111131210––
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 2–0 Adam Ruszkiewicz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:28What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1258 vs Ruszkiewicz 1357
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 80% vs Ruszkiewicz 60%
Sawicki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 50% vs Ruszkiewicz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki -1 · Ruszkiewicz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ruszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sawicki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 2.00 / Ruszkiewicz 1.71
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13147255
Sawicki2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 129 of 392
Down 0–1, comes back19% 48 of 260
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 164
Ruszkiewicz1.71
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 50 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSawicki2wins
AwayRuszkiewicz0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSawicki leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSawickiRuszkiewiczS − RBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.037.5+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 907 vs 319 / 85939.4%37.1%357 / 907 vs 319 / 859Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczSawicki 2.00/Ruszkiewicz 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sawicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 11 · 23:45G. Sawicki45113118123A. Ruszkiewicz46611811102
WAug 10 · 17:35G. Sawicki371411123A. Ruszkiewicz29127100
G. Sawicki10
WSep 18 · 19:30G. Sawicki1.761211113R. Adach1.9010840LSep 14 · 02:00S. Krupa1.4511811113G. Sawicki2.42911761WSep 14 · 01:10I. Szymanski2.303560G. Sawicki1.551111113WSep 14 · 24:25G. Sawicki3.65616115113P. Polok1.21111451172WSep 13 · 22:50G. Sawicki1.88891111113R. Adach1.7611114982WSep 13 · 22:00R. Ogon2.42812861G. Sawicki1.46111011113LSep 13 · 20:45G. Sawicki3.658111151P. Polok1.2111913113LSep 13 · 19:10G. Sawicki2.90914951K. Juszczyk1.33111211113LSep 13 · 18:00G. Sawicki2.50811631S. Krupa1.4211911113WSep 13 · 16:25G. Sawicki1.49111110123R. Ogon2.346812101
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 18 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.0071171192O. Sokolowski1.71118114113LSep 16 · 20:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.769590J. Kaczmarek1.901111113LSep 16 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.321611143A. Ruszkiewicz2.90147120WSep 16 · 18:00O. Sokolowski1.701379121A. Ruszkiewicz1.95111111143WSep 16 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.001112113M. Adamus1.7391080WSep 16 · 16:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1611711113S. Krupa1.57911971WSep 15 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1514914113R. Idaczyk1.6012111291LSep 15 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.479880M. Cesarz2.501111113WSep 15 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz1.7411811113J. Kaczmarek1.95811581LSep 15 · 04:25W. Urban1.581111113A. Ruszkiewicz2.136840
Upcoming Matches
G. Sawicki
Sep 18 · 20:20G. Sawicki2.60K. Juszczyk1.41—Sep 18 · 21:05G. Sawicki2.00D. Fira1.71—Sep 18 · 22:40G. Sawicki2.20O. Sokolowski1.57—Sep 19 · 24:20G. Sawicki2.75K. Juszczyk1.31—Sep 19 · 01:30G. Sawicki1.67R. Adach1.89—Sep 19 · 02:20G. Sawicki1.97A. Ruszkiewicz1.61—Sep 19 · 03:05G. Sawicki1.97D. Fira1.61—
A. Ruszkiewicz
Sep 18 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.65R. Adach2.10—Sep 18 · 21:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.40K. Juszczyk1.50—Sep 18 · 22:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.83D. Fira1.86—Sep 18 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.95O. Sokolowski1.62—Sep 19 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.85D. Fira1.70—Sep 19 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.61G. Sawicki1.97—Sep 19 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz2.44K. Juszczyk1.39—
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