TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13146815
Played Sep 18Finished
Damian Fira
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116113––––
Rafal Adach
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeDamian Fira to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
119116113––––
H2H Damian Fira 14–10 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:07What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Fira
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Fira
Correct
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fira 1280 vs Adach 1192
Fira
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fira 20% vs Adach 0%
Fira
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fira 50% vs Adach 10%
Fira
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fira -1 · Adach -9
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Fira) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFira 1.60 / Adach 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Fira)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13146815
Fira1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 42 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Adach2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 80 of 250
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFira6wins
AwayAdach4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFira leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFira60%3 of 5
AwayAdach40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fira5Adach5n = 10split evenly
S2Fira4Adach6n = 10Adach took 6 of 10
S3Fira5Adach5n = 10split evenly
S4Fira6Adach2n = 8Fira took 6 of 8
S5Fira2Adach1n = 3Fira took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiraAdachF − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.136.2+0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiraAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 469 vs 237 / 58143.5%40.8%204 / 469 vs 237 / 581Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.634.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiraFira 1.60/Adach 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Fira · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fira won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 03:55D. Fira3961111113R. Adach25116261
WAug 22 · 21:55D. Fira536131111123R. Adach53111598102
LAug 22 · 03:55D. Fira30128461R. Adach43101111113
LAug 21 · 21:55D. Fira185940R. Adach331111113
LJul 19 · 03:55D. Fira355121171R. Adach3811142113
WJul 18 · 21:55D. Fira331111113R. Adach127230
WJul 18 · 03:55D. Fira4291111113R. Adach27118531
WJul 17 · 21:55D. Fira3912115113R. Adach321051161
WJul 3 · 23:30D. Fira40114311113R. Adach4891111982
LJul 3 · 19:10D. Fira42115511102R. Adach51811119123
D. Fira10
LSep 5 · 04:40K. Juszczyk1.23111211133D. Fira3.6013109111WSep 5 · 03:55J. Michalski2.2011960D. Fira1.571311113LSep 5 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4611311113D. Fira2.54911631LSep 5 · 01:10R. Wiza2.001191210113D. Fira1.71711101292LSep 4 · 23:30L. Bernacki1.5471111113D. Fira2.27117481WSep 4 · 22:40L. Bernacki1.7591350D. Fira1.951115113WSep 4 · 21:55J. Michalski2.0011890D. Fira1.711311113WSep 4 · 19:55R. Szymik1.4796100D. Fira2.451111123LSep 4 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.06101111113D. Fira6.75125251WSep 4 · 17:30R. Wiza2.00711111062D. Fira1.73117912113
R. Adach10
LSep 18 · 19:30G. Sawicki1.761211113R. Adach1.9010840LSep 15 · 20:45R. Adach3.655150P. Polok1.221111113LSep 15 · 19:10R. Adach2.856860P. Kaczynski1.341111113LSep 15 · 18:00R. Adach3.3536110M. Tkocz1.251111133LSep 15 · 16:25R. Adach2.5047100J. Orszulik1.501111123LSep 15 · 15:10R. Adach2.7561251162K. Juszczyk1.351110118113LSep 14 · 02:20R. Ogon2.2011716113R. Adach1.605111481LSep 14 · 01:35P. Polok1.271211113R. Adach3.3010940LSep 13 · 23:35S. Krupa1.52116711113R. Adach2.3771111832LSep 13 · 22:50G. Sawicki1.88891111113R. Adach1.7611114982
Upcoming Matches
D. Fira
Sep 18 · 18:45D. Fira2.40K. Juszczyk1.50—Sep 18 · 19:55D. Fira1.95O. Sokolowski1.74—Sep 18 · 21:05D. Fira1.71G. Sawicki2.00—Sep 18 · 22:20D. Fira1.86A. Ruszkiewicz1.83—Sep 18 · 23:55D. Fira1.54R. Adach2.08—Sep 19 · 24:45D. Fira1.70A. Ruszkiewicz1.85—Sep 19 · 01:55D. Fira1.95O. Sokolowski1.62—Sep 19 · 03:05D. Fira1.61G. Sawicki1.97—Sep 19 · 04:20D. Fira2.43K. Juszczyk1.39—
R. Adach
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