TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154154
Starts 23:55Scheduled
Damian Fira
Home
1.54
At publish
Won last 15–5Last 10Won last 1
Head to head
15 – 10
All 25 meetings · 60.0%
Last 10 · 7–3Same side
Rafal Adach
Away
2.08
At publish
Lost last 100–10Last 10Lost last 10
Rafal Adach arrives off 10 straight losses. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 6h before this match
Fira beat Adach 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFira 1.54 / Adach 2.08
TT Elite Series · #13154154
Fira1.54
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 42 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Adach2.08
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog32% won 80 of 250
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFira7wins
AwayAdach3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFira leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFira80%4 of 5
AwayAdach40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fira5Adach5n = 10split evenly
S2Fira5Adach5n = 10split evenly
S3Fira6Adach4n = 10Fira took 6 of 10
S4Fira5Adach2n = 7Fira took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiraAdachF − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.232.9+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiraAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 450 vs 238 / 58543.6%40.7%196 / 450 vs 238 / 585Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.634.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 17:55D. Fira331111113R. Adach189630
WAug 23 · 03:55D. Fira3961111113R. Adach25116261
WAug 22 · 21:55D. Fira536131111123R. Adach53111598102
LAug 22 · 03:55D. Fira30128461R. Adach43101111113
LAug 21 · 21:55D. Fira185940R. Adach331111113
LJul 19 · 03:55D. Fira355121171R. Adach3811142113
WJul 18 · 21:55D. Fira331111113R. Adach127230
WJul 18 · 03:55D. Fira4291111113R. Adach27118531
WJul 17 · 21:55D. Fira3912115113R. Adach321051161
WJul 3 · 23:30D. Fira40114311113R. Adach4891111982
D. Fira10
WSep 18 · 17:55D. Fira1.601111113R. Adach2.109630LSep 5 · 04:40K. Juszczyk1.23111211133D. Fira3.6013109111WSep 5 · 03:55J. Michalski2.2011960D. Fira1.571311113LSep 5 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4611311113D. Fira2.54911631LSep 5 · 01:10R. Wiza2.001191210113D. Fira1.71711101292LSep 4 · 23:30L. Bernacki1.5471111113D. Fira2.27117481WSep 4 · 22:40L. Bernacki1.7591350D. Fira1.951115113WSep 4 · 21:55J. Michalski2.0011890D. Fira1.711311113WSep 4 · 19:55R. Szymik1.4796100D. Fira2.451111123LSep 4 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.06101111113D. Fira6.75125251
R. Adach10
LSep 18 · 17:55D. Fira1.601111113R. Adach2.109630LSep 15 · 20:45R. Adach3.655150P. Polok1.221111113LSep 15 · 19:10R. Adach2.856860P. Kaczynski1.341111113LSep 15 · 18:00R. Adach3.3536110M. Tkocz1.251111133LSep 15 · 16:25R. Adach2.5047100J. Orszulik1.501111123LSep 15 · 15:10R. Adach2.7561251162K. Juszczyk1.351110118113LSep 14 · 02:20R. Ogon2.2011716113R. Adach1.605111481LSep 14 · 01:35P. Polok1.271211113R. Adach3.3010940LSep 13 · 23:35S. Krupa1.52116711113R. Adach2.3771111832LSep 13 · 22:50G. Sawicki1.88891111113R. Adach1.7611114982
Upcoming Matches
D. Fira
Sep 18 · 18:45D. Fira2.40K. Juszczyk1.50—Sep 18 · 19:55D. Fira1.95O. Sokolowski1.74—Sep 18 · 21:05D. Fira1.71G. Sawicki2.00—Sep 18 · 22:20D. Fira1.86A. Ruszkiewicz1.83—Sep 19 · 24:45D. Fira1.70A. Ruszkiewicz1.85—Sep 19 · 01:55D. Fira1.95O. Sokolowski1.62—Sep 19 · 03:05D. Fira1.61G. Sawicki1.97—Sep 19 · 04:20D. Fira2.43K. Juszczyk1.39—
R. Adach
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