TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Gajda vs Jakub Kaczmarek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611116119––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
1.87
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
119611116119––
H2H Rafal Gajda 7–3 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:45What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Gajda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Gajda
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1325 vs Kaczmarek 1410
Kaczmarek
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 60% vs Kaczmarek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 50% vs Kaczmarek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda -1 · Kaczmarek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kaczmarek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 1.83 / Kaczmarek 1.87
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kaczmarek)+4.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13174449
Gajda1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 148 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it92% 68 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 104 of 140
Kaczmarek1.87
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 171 of 498
Down 0–1, comes back18% 56 of 314
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 176
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGajda7wins
AwayKaczmarek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGajda leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda85.7%6 of 7
AwayKaczmarek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda7Kaczmarek3n = 10Gajda took 7 of 10
S2Gajda6Kaczmarek4n = 10Gajda took 6 of 10
S3Gajda8Kaczmarek2n = 10Gajda took 8 of 10
S4Gajda5Kaczmarek2n = 7Gajda took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGajdaKaczmarekG − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.735.5+5.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 821 vs 497 / 133051.4%37.4%422 / 821 vs 497 / 1330Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.435.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczmarekGajda 1.83/Kaczmarek 1.87
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kaczmarek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 13:05R. Gajda50151110143J. Kaczmarek4413712121
WAug 27 · 06:55R. Gajda391411143J. Kaczmarek32128120
LJul 29 · 16:20R. Gajda388121171J. Kaczmarek4511149113
WJul 29 · 06:45R. Gajda44101112113J. Kaczmarek401291091
LMay 6 · 12:20R. Gajda4311771172J. Kaczmarek48811117113
WMay 6 · 08:20R. Gajda331111113J. Kaczmarek229580
WFeb 11 · 17:40R. Gajda3511211113J. Kaczmarek30411961
LFeb 11 · 11:40R. Gajda49101111892J. Kaczmarek48128611113
WJan 28 · 16:55R. Gajda4311813113J. Kaczmarek323111171
WJan 28 · 10:55R. Gajda331111113J. Kaczmarek148420
R. Gajda10
LSep 22 · 04:00R. Gajda1.2511914882K. Kowalski3.456111211113WSep 16 · 13:55R. Gajda1.20111111113I. Szymanski4.33461351WSep 16 · 12:40R. Gajda1.831191112113K. Adamus1.83131191092LSep 16 · 11:25R. Gajda2.0011880P. Gumulinski1.731311113WSep 16 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.80101150R. Gajda1.911213113LSep 16 · 09:25R. Gajda1.831013891W. Urban1.83121111113WSep 16 · 07:45R. Gajda1.73118138113P. Przewlocki2.00511111182LSep 16 · 06:30R. Gajda1.8310880K. Adamus1.831211113LSep 16 · 05:15R. Gajda2.20611841P. Gumulinski1.6111911113WSep 16 · 04:10I. Szymanski3.755870R. Gajda1.251111113
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 22 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.00111151082J. Kaczmarek1.70691112113LSep 21 · 17:05P. Ostachowski—511711113J. Kaczmarek—11511122WSep 21 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek1.861111113W. Tobiasz1.833980LSep 21 · 14:45O. Jadach1.351111113J. Kaczmarek3.009870WSep 21 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.4571250J. Kaczmarek2.551114113LSep 21 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.36611511113J. Kaczmarek2.9011811372WSep 21 · 11:05O. Jadach1.455580J. Kaczmarek2.451111113WSep 21 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek1.861111411113W. Tobiasz1.8313511872LSep 21 · 08:45P. Ostachowski—1111113J. Kaczmarek—9650WSep 21 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.369121291J. Kaczmarek2.85111014113
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