TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13156038
Played Sep 19Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119116––––
Rafal Adach
Away
2.15
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
117119116––––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 12–10 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Adach beat Ruszkiewicz 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:53What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-10 in 22
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1336 vs Adach 1144
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 60% vs Adach 0%
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Adach 10%
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz -2 · Adach -6
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Ruszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (0%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 1.60 / Adach 2.15
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13156038
Ruszkiewicz1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 49 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it71% 40 of 56
Adach2.15
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 81 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz3wins
AwayAdach7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderAdach leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdach75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz2Adach8n = 10Adach took 8 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz4Adach6n = 10Adach took 6 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz2Adach8n = 10Adach took 8 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz5Adach0n = 5Ruszkiewicz took 5 of 5
S5Ruszkiewicz2Adach3n = 5Adach took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczAdachR − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.840.3−4.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 869 vs 239 / 59337.4%40.3%325 / 869 vs 239 / 593Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.834.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczRuszkiewicz 1.60/Adach 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz227690R. Adach331111113
WSep 2 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz50811911113R. Adach4411711782
LAug 22 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz247890R. Adach331111113
LAug 21 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz187650R. Adach331111113
LAug 14 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz2273120R. Adach361111143
WAug 14 · 16:55A. Ruszkiewicz341112113R. Adach2251070
LJul 18 · 04:40A. Ruszkiewicz46591111102R. Adach48111159123
WJul 17 · 22:40A. Ruszkiewicz50912513113R. Adach491110111162
LJul 4 · 03:55A. Ruszkiewicz52911121192R. Adach52119147113
LJul 3 · 21:55A. Ruszkiewicz4012591222R. Adach5310111110113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 19 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.898117101K. Juszczyk1.8211411123LSep 19 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.6111139952G. Sawicki1.977111111113WSep 19 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.85111110113D. Fira1.70781281WSep 18 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.95118129123O. Sokolowski1.626111011102WSep 18 · 22:20D. Fira1.86112641A. Ruszkiewicz1.8331111113WSep 18 · 21:30K. Juszczyk1.50114811A. Ruszkiewicz2.3571111113LSep 18 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.657690R. Adach2.051111113LSep 18 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.0071171192O. Sokolowski1.71118114113LSep 18 · 18:20G. Sawicki2.0011911123A. Ruszkiewicz1.719113101LSep 16 · 20:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.769590J. Kaczmarek1.901111113
R. Adach10
LSep 19 · 03:55R. Adach2.2881070O. Sokolowski1.451112113LSep 19 · 02:45K. Juszczyk1.291111109113R. Adach2.8047121112LSep 19 · 01:30G. Sawicki1.671111113R. Adach1.898970LSep 18 · 23:55D. Fira1.77811811113R. Adach1.9311911742LSep 18 · 23:05K. Juszczyk1.371111113R. Adach2.757870LSep 18 · 21:55R. Adach2.2513780O. Sokolowski1.571511113WSep 18 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.657690R. Adach2.051111113LSep 18 · 19:30G. Sawicki1.761211113R. Adach1.9010840LSep 18 · 17:55D. Fira1.601111113R. Adach2.109630LSep 15 · 20:45R. Adach3.655150P. Polok1.221111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.