TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154144
Played Sep 19Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119117––––
Rafal Adach
Away
1.89
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:40 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Sawicki to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
118119117––––
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 19–10 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Sawicki beat Adach 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:40What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (53%)
Sawicki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-10 in 29
Sawicki
Correct
gap of 9 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1293 vs Adach 1167
Sawicki
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 60% vs Adach 20%
Sawicki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 70% vs Adach 10%
Sawicki
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki +2 · Adach -3
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sawicki) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 1.67 / Adach 1.89
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sawicki)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13154144
Sawicki1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 48 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Adach1.89
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 80 of 250
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSawicki8wins
AwayAdach2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSawicki leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawicki100%3 of 3
AwayAdach28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki3Adach7n = 10Adach took 7 of 10
S2Sawicki6Adach4n = 10Sawicki took 6 of 10
S3Sawicki5Adach5n = 10split evenly
S4Sawicki6Adach3n = 9Sawicki took 6 of 9
S5Sawicki6Adach0n = 6Sawicki took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSawickiAdachS − ABasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match45.140.9+4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 908 vs 239 / 59039.1%40.5%355 / 908 vs 239 / 590Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.834.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SawickiSawicki 1.67/Adach 1.89
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.1%
Sawicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sawicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 19:30G. Sawicki341211113R. Adach2210840
WSep 13 · 22:50G. Sawicki50891111113R. Adach4311114982
LSep 13 · 15:10G. Sawicki31591161R. Adach4111118113
WSep 6 · 16:25G. Sawicki521113611113R. Adach51131111792
WJun 27 · 23:30G. Sawicki507111011113R. Adach4011712732
WJun 27 · 19:10G. Sawicki4011711113R. Adach35811881
WMay 31 · 02:20G. Sawicki521111118113R. Adach4213751162
WMay 30 · 18:20G. Sawicki461131011113R. Adach4281112832
WMay 30 · 06:45G. Sawicki551015811113R. Adach50121311772
LMay 9 · 06:25G. Sawicki4110118121R. Adach4312611143
G. Sawicki10
WSep 19 · 24:20G. Sawicki2.75911138113K. Juszczyk1.31117111162WSep 18 · 22:40G. Sawicki1.70111117113O. Sokolowski2.00781981LSep 18 · 21:05D. Fira1.711111113G. Sawicki2.008570LSep 18 · 20:20K. Juszczyk1.4112114113G. Sawicki2.601091171WSep 18 · 19:30G. Sawicki1.761211113R. Adach1.9010840WSep 18 · 18:20G. Sawicki2.0011911123A. Ruszkiewicz1.719113101LSep 14 · 02:00S. Krupa1.4511811113G. Sawicki2.42911761WSep 14 · 01:10I. Szymanski2.303560G. Sawicki1.551111113WSep 14 · 24:25G. Sawicki3.65616115113P. Polok1.21111451172WSep 13 · 22:50G. Sawicki1.88891111113R. Adach1.7611114982
R. Adach10
LSep 18 · 23:55D. Fira1.77811811113R. Adach1.9311911742LSep 18 · 23:05K. Juszczyk1.371111113R. Adach2.757870LSep 18 · 21:55R. Adach2.2513780O. Sokolowski1.571511113WSep 18 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.657690R. Adach2.051111113LSep 18 · 19:30G. Sawicki1.761211113R. Adach1.9010840LSep 18 · 17:55D. Fira1.601111113R. Adach2.109630LSep 15 · 20:45R. Adach3.655150P. Polok1.221111113LSep 15 · 19:10R. Adach2.856860P. Kaczynski1.341111113LSep 15 · 18:00R. Adach3.3536110M. Tkocz1.251111133LSep 13 · 22:50G. Sawicki1.88891111113R. Adach1.7611114982
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