TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Grzegorz Wichowski
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511115711611––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
2.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:42 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
511115711611––
H2H Grzegorz Wichowski 23–9 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 9 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.29 (69%)
Wichowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-9 in 32
Wichowski
Wrong
gap of 14 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wichowski 1422 vs Kaczmarek 1395
Wichowski
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wichowski 80% vs Kaczmarek 60%
Wichowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wichowski 70% vs Kaczmarek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wichowski +1 · Kaczmarek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Wichowski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWichowski 1.29 / Kaczmarek 2.85
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Wichowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13164150
Wichowski1.29
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 238 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it98% 117 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it82% 178 of 216
Kaczmarek2.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 167 of 496
Down 0–1, comes back18% 56 of 317
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 178
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWichowski7wins
AwayKaczmarek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWichowski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWichowski87.5%7 of 8
AwayKaczmarekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wichowski8Kaczmarek2n = 10Wichowski took 8 of 10
S2Wichowski7Kaczmarek3n = 10Wichowski took 7 of 10
S3Wichowski5Kaczmarek5n = 10split evenly
S4Wichowski4Kaczmarek2n = 6Wichowski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWichowskiKaczmarekW − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.331.9+5.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWichowskiKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime569 / 928 vs 491 / 132461.3%37.1%569 / 928 vs 491 / 1324Avg sets wonper match2.31.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.635.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiWichowski 1.29/Kaczmarek 2.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 05:55G. Wichowski29511761J. Kaczmarek3811511113
WSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski47115911113J. Kaczmarek4241111792
WSep 4 · 05:55G. Wichowski331111113J. Kaczmarek209380
LJul 31 · 13:10G. Wichowski35119781J. Kaczmarek4181111113
WJul 31 · 05:30G. Wichowski341111123J. Kaczmarek2183100
WJun 15 · 08:20G. Wichowski3911116113J. Kaczmarek29671151
WMay 8 · 14:45G. Wichowski4011711113J. Kaczmarek38911991
LApr 27 · 14:45G. Wichowski49811811112J. Kaczmarek49119115133
WApr 27 · 11:05G. Wichowski331111113J. Kaczmarek177640
WMar 16 · 14:10G. Wichowski341211113J. Kaczmarek2410950
G. Wichowski10
WSep 21 · 07:55G. Wichowski1.3311117123W. Tobiasz2.959911101LSep 21 · 06:45O. Jadach1.831511113G. Wichowski1.8313980WSep 18 · 17:05G. Wichowski1.65115612113M. Paszkiewicz2.10811111062LSep 18 · 15:30G. Wichowski1.90128471O. Jadach1.80101111113WSep 18 · 14:20G. Wichowski1.80111111113R. Skotniczny1.90134761WSep 18 · 12:45G. Wichowski1.45111111113P. Slosarczyk2.50713881WSep 18 · 11:30G. Wichowski1.36491111143W. Tobiasz2.95111198122WSep 18 · 10:20P. Slosarczyk2.5048100G. Wichowski1.451111123WSep 18 · 09:30O. Jadach1.833880G. Wichowski1.871111113LSep 18 · 08:45G. Wichowski1.5571720M. Paszkiewicz2.151119113
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 21 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.369121291J. Kaczmarek2.85111014113WSep 19 · 08:20M. Cesarz2.5010440J. Kaczmarek1.441211113WSep 19 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.62116881J. Kaczmarek2.1531111113LSep 19 · 05:35J. Pelka1.5411911113J. Kaczmarek2.25611791LSep 19 · 04:50T. Lojtek1.801111113J. Kaczmarek1.854780WSep 19 · 03:10W. Urban1.66158871J. Kaczmarek2.10131111113WSep 18 · 20:30L. Oracz1.50881161J. Kaczmarek2.5011118113LSep 18 · 19:20J. Kaczmarek1.6751191352M. Baron2.101191111113LSep 18 · 18:10K. Durak1.19118612113J. Kaczmarek3.45911111062WSep 18 · 16:55I. Szymanski4.009980J. Kaczmarek1.221111113
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