TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 13:30Scheduled
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 17–3Last 10Lost last 1
Head to head
11 – 8
All 19 meetings · 57.9%
Last 10 · 7–3Same side
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 46–4Last 10Won last 4
Jakub Kaczmarek arrives on a run of 4 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 6h before this match
Kaczmarek beat Skotniczny 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 1.30 / Kaczmarek 2.75
TT Elite Series · #13167437
Skotniczny1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 201 of 316
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it81% 151 of 187
Kaczmarek2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 167 of 496
Down 0–1, comes back18% 56 of 317
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 178
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotniczny7wins
AwayKaczmarek3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotniczny100%5 of 5
AwayKaczmarek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotniczny5Kaczmarek5n = 10split evenly
S2Skotniczny8Kaczmarek2n = 10Skotniczny took 8 of 10
S3Skotniczny6Kaczmarek4n = 10Skotniczny took 6 of 10
S4Skotniczny3Kaczmarek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicznyKaczmarekS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.533.0+5.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznyKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime607 / 1048 vs 492 / 132557.9%37.1%607 / 1048 vs 492 / 1325Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 07:30R. Skotniczny429121291J. Kaczmarek46111014113
WSep 8 · 07:10R. Skotniczny46131111113J. Kaczmarek32159441
WJun 15 · 06:20R. Skotniczny331111113J. Kaczmarek169610
LMay 6 · 15:05R. Skotniczny28117100J. Kaczmarek361311123
WMay 6 · 09:05R. Skotniczny47116118113J. Kaczmarek4661191192
WFeb 11 · 12:30R. Skotniczny331111113J. Kaczmarek219750
WFeb 11 · 08:10R. Skotniczny4391111123J. Kaczmarek331148101
WAug 21 · 15:55R. Skotniczny331111113J. Kaczmarek207760
WAug 21 · 09:55R. Skotniczny50111612113J. Kaczmarek395141461
LMay 15 · 10:20R. Skotniczny30611581J. Kaczmarek4111811113
R. Skotniczny10
LSep 21 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.369121291J. Kaczmarek2.85111014113WSep 21 · 06:20R. Skotniczny—1211113P. Ostachowski—10970WSep 18 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.401111113W. Tobiasz2.705980WSep 18 · 15:05P. Slosarczyk2.40119841R. Skotniczny1.4771111113LSep 18 · 14:20G. Wichowski1.80111111113R. Skotniczny1.90134761LSep 18 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.54116611102M. Paszkiewicz2.25811116123WSep 18 · 12:20R. Skotniczny2.10111178113O. Jadach1.6594111162WSep 18 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.42911117113W. Tobiasz2.6511861182WSep 18 · 09:05P. Slosarczyk2.953650R. Skotniczny1.331111113WSep 18 · 08:20O. Jadach1.8013590R. Skotniczny1.851511113
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 21 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.369121291J. Kaczmarek2.85111014113WSep 21 · 05:55G. Wichowski1.29511761J. Kaczmarek2.8511511113WSep 19 · 08:20M. Cesarz2.5010440J. Kaczmarek1.441211113WSep 19 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.62116881J. Kaczmarek2.1531111113LSep 19 · 05:35J. Pelka1.5411911113J. Kaczmarek2.25611791LSep 19 · 04:50T. Lojtek1.801111113J. Kaczmarek1.854780WSep 19 · 03:10W. Urban1.66158871J. Kaczmarek2.10131111113WSep 18 · 20:30L. Oracz1.50881161J. Kaczmarek2.5011118113LSep 18 · 19:20J. Kaczmarek1.6751191352M. Baron2.101191111113LSep 18 · 18:10K. Durak1.19118612113J. Kaczmarek3.45911111062
Upcoming Matches
R. Skotniczny
J. Kaczmarek
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