TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13150124
Played Sep 18Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
2.95
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611511––––
Rafal Skotniczny
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:11 and never touched — 73.8% is still 73.8%
Graded at full timeRafal Skotniczny to win
73.8%
73.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
311611511––––
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 1–6 Rafal Skotniczny Pawel Slosarczyk has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Skotniczny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Skotniczny
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1263 vs Skotniczny 1455
Skotniczny
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 20% vs Skotniczny 80%
Skotniczny
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 20% vs Skotniczny 60%
Skotniczny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk -4 · Skotniczny +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Skotniczny) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 2.95 / Skotniczny 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Skotniczny)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13150124
Slosarczyk2.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 103 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back14% 27 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 120
Skotniczny1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 206 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it96% 108 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it81% 155 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk1wins
AwaySkotniczny6wins
1 of 7 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySkotniczny100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk1Skotniczny6n = 7Skotniczny took 6 of 7
S2Slosarczyk2Skotniczny5n = 7Skotniczny took 5 of 7
S3Slosarczyk3Skotniczny4n = 7Skotniczny took 4 of 7
S4Slosarczyk1Skotniczny2n = 3Skotniczny took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricSlosarczykSkotnicznySlosarczyk − SkotnicznyBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match29.337.1−7.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykSkotnicznyBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 856 vs 600 / 103738.4%57.9%329 / 856 vs 600 / 1037Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznySlosarczyk 2.95/Skotniczny 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skotniczny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 4 · 13:55P. Slosarczyk4178121132R. Skotniczny511111108113
LSep 4 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk33771181R. Skotniczny3911116113
LSep 3 · 16:40P. Slosarczyk411114881R. Skotniczny47131211113
WSep 3 · 10:40P. Slosarczyk351311113R. Skotniczny2211830
LJul 14 · 07:45P. Slosarczyk164750R. Skotniczny331111113
LJul 22 · 13:30P. Slosarczyk2111640R. Skotniczny351311113
LJul 22 · 07:30P. Slosarczyk183960R. Skotniczny331111113
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 18 · 07:55P. Slosarczyk1.95511671W. Tobiasz1.7611611113LSep 18 · 06:45O. Jadach1.281111113P. Slosarczyk3.358670LSep 18 · 05:55P. Slosarczyk2.2581180M. Paszkiewicz1.541113113LSep 13 · 16:40M. Oracz1.521111113P. Slosarczyk2.376540WSep 13 · 15:55O. Sokolowski2.1091171192P. Slosarczyk1.67119117113WSep 13 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.378111191P. Slosarczyk2.7011136113LSep 13 · 13:10R. Wojcik1.8391112123P. Slosarczyk1.8311910101LSep 13 · 11:30F. Witczak1.381516113P. Slosarczyk2.65131450LSep 13 · 10:40M. Oracz1.801211113P. Slosarczyk1.9010370LSep 13 · 09:55O. Sokolowski2.051113183P. Slosarczyk1.68911160
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 18 · 08:20O. Jadach1.8013590R. Skotniczny1.851511113WSep 18 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.5412115113M. Paszkiewicz2.251061191WSep 18 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.9511712113G. Wichowski1.747111091WSep 15 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.481111143K. Jablonski2.3474120LSep 15 · 15:05M. Adamus2.374121111113R. Skotniczny1.51111013332WSep 15 · 14:20L. Oracz1.8612780R. Skotniczny1.831411113WSep 15 · 13:30R. Skotniczny2.2581412113M. Durda1.5711121091WSep 15 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.751111133R. Gajda1.9888110LSep 15 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.489101111112K. Jablonski2.34111268133LSep 15 · 09:05M. Adamus2.301112123R. Skotniczny1.55910100
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