TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13150135
Played Sep 18Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511116611711––
Wojciech Tobiasz
Away
1.76
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Tobiasz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
511116611711––
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 0–2 Wojciech Tobiasz Pawel Slosarczyk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:08What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (53%)
Tobiasz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1275 vs Tobiasz 1260
Slosarczyk
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 40% vs Tobiasz 20%
Slosarczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 20% vs Tobiasz 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk -3 · Tobiasz -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tobiasz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tobiasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 1.95 / Tobiasz 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tobiasz)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13150135
Slosarczyk1.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 103 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back14% 27 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 120
Tobiasz1.76
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite49% won 46 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk0wins
AwayTobiasz2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderTobiasz leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSlosarczykTobiaszS − TBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.045.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykTobiaszBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 855 vs 327 / 71138.5%46%329 / 855 vs 327 / 711Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TobiaszSlosarczyk 1.95/Tobiasz 1.76
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tobiasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tobiasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 21 · 04:25P. Slosarczyk29115581W. Tobiasz4291111113
LJun 14 · 07:10P. Slosarczyk4168111152W. Tobiasz48111178113
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 18 · 09:05P. Slosarczyk2.953650R. Skotniczny1.331111113LSep 18 · 06:45O. Jadach1.281111113P. Slosarczyk3.358670LSep 18 · 05:55P. Slosarczyk2.2581180M. Paszkiewicz1.541113113LSep 13 · 16:40M. Oracz1.521111113P. Slosarczyk2.376540WSep 13 · 15:55O. Sokolowski2.1091171192P. Slosarczyk1.67119117113WSep 13 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.378111191P. Slosarczyk2.7011136113LSep 13 · 13:10R. Wojcik1.8391112123P. Slosarczyk1.8311910101LSep 13 · 11:30F. Witczak1.381516113P. Slosarczyk2.65131450LSep 13 · 10:40M. Oracz1.801211113P. Slosarczyk1.9010370LSep 13 · 09:55O. Sokolowski2.051113183P. Slosarczyk1.68911160
W. Tobiasz10
LSep 18 · 07:10G. Wichowski1.361111113W. Tobiasz2.958560LSep 18 · 05:30O. Jadach1.4211117113W. Tobiasz2.60391161LSep 14 · 17:05W. Tobiasz3.0041111152J. Pruszkowski1.36116119113LSep 14 · 15:30W. Tobiasz2.60113541G. Wichowski1.41111111113WSep 14 · 14:20W. Tobiasz1.8191111113P. Mecik1.83118981LSep 14 · 12:45W. Tobiasz1.95511461Y. Fomin1.7011611113WSep 14 · 11:30W. Tobiasz1.951111113M. Baron1.719940LSep 14 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.751011911113W. Tobiasz1.9012811962WSep 14 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.4271210101W. Tobiasz2.50111012123LSep 14 · 08:45W. Tobiasz2.856810J. Pruszkowski1.351111113
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