TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13146749
Played Sep 18Finished
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1177111210119––
Grzegorz Wichowski
Away
1.74
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1177111210119––
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 54–44 Grzegorz Wichowski Grzegorz Wichowski has won 44 of their 98 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:49What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Wichowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-44 in 98
Skotniczny
Correct
gap of 10 in 98, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skotniczny 1445 vs Wichowski 1408
Skotniczny
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skotniczny 80% vs Wichowski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skotniczny 60% vs Wichowski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skotniczny +1 · Wichowski +3
Wichowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wichowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wichowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 1.95 / Wichowski 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wichowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13146749
Skotniczny1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 64 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back29% 19 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Wichowski1.74
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 238 of 359
Up 2–0, closes it98% 117 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it82% 177 of 216
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotniczny6wins
AwayWichowski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotniczny66.7%4 of 6
AwayWichowski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotniczny6Wichowski4n = 10Skotniczny took 6 of 10
S2Skotniczny5Wichowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Skotniczny6Wichowski4n = 10Skotniczny took 6 of 10
S4Skotniczny3Wichowski4n = 7Wichowski took 4 of 7
S5Skotniczny3Wichowski2n = 5Skotniczny took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicznyWichowskiS − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.239.4+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznyWichowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime599 / 1036 vs 567 / 92457.8%61.4%599 / 1036 vs 567 / 924Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiSkotniczny 1.95/Wichowski 1.74
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skotniczny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 06:20R. Skotniczny4111712113G. Wichowski377111091
LSep 11 · 11:30R. Skotniczny501110101182G. Wichowski51912127113
WSep 11 · 07:10R. Skotniczny331111113G. Wichowski197660
WSep 7 · 12:20R. Skotniczny331111113G. Wichowski162860
LSep 7 · 08:20R. Skotniczny39139981G. Wichowski44111111113
LAug 3 · 12:20R. Skotniczny321010120G. Wichowski381212143
WAug 3 · 08:20R. Skotniczny506111111113G. Wichowski4411861362
WJul 17 · 12:20R. Skotniczny501111413113G. Wichowski4676111572
LJul 17 · 08:20R. Skotniczny481111114112G. Wichowski54139811133
WJul 13 · 16:20R. Skotniczny46661111123G. Wichowski45111158102
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 15 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.481111143K. Jablonski2.3474120LSep 15 · 15:05M. Adamus2.374121111113R. Skotniczny1.51111013332WSep 15 · 14:20L. Oracz1.8612780R. Skotniczny1.831411113WSep 15 · 13:30R. Skotniczny2.2581412113M. Durda1.5711121091WSep 15 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.751111133R. Gajda1.9888110LSep 15 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.489101111112K. Jablonski2.34111268133LSep 15 · 09:05M. Adamus2.301112123R. Skotniczny1.55910100LSep 15 · 08:20R. Gajda2.22912118113R. Skotniczny1.54111071162WSep 15 · 07:30R. Skotniczny2.2011611113M. Durda1.57711391WSep 15 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.861112113L. Oracz1.8051060
G. Wichowski10
WSep 18 · 07:10G. Wichowski1.361111113W. Tobiasz2.958560WSep 14 · 16:20Y. Fomin2.257950G. Wichowski1.541111113WSep 14 · 15:30W. Tobiasz2.60113541G. Wichowski1.41111111113WSep 14 · 14:45G. Wichowski2.0611116113J. Pruszkowski1.63641141LSep 14 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.5311991182M. Baron2.35611116113WSep 14 · 12:20P. Mecik2.6581120G. Wichowski1.381113113LSep 14 · 11:05G. Wichowski2.0697100J. Pruszkowski1.631111123LSep 14 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.4271210101W. Tobiasz2.50111012123WSep 14 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.4131111113P. Mecik2.55119741WSep 14 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.5661112113Y. Fomin2.171181081
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