TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13150109
Played Sep 18Finished
Grzegorz Wichowski
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4119111191181412
Wojciech Tobiasz
Away
2.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:19 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
4119111191181412
H2H Grzegorz Wichowski 93–27 Wojciech Tobiasz Wojciech Tobiasz has won 27 of their 120 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Wichowski beat Tobiasz 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Wichowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
93-27 in 120
Wichowski
Correct
gap of 66 in 120, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wichowski 1411 vs Tobiasz 1259
Wichowski
Correct
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wichowski 60% vs Tobiasz 20%
Wichowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wichowski 70% vs Tobiasz 30%
Wichowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wichowski +2 · Tobiasz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Wichowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tobiasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWichowski 1.36 / Tobiasz 2.95
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Wichowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13150109
Wichowski1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 238 of 359
Up 2–0, closes it98% 117 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it82% 177 of 216
Tobiasz2.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 79 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back20% 22 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWichowski9wins
AwayTobiasz1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWichowski leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWichowski100%8 of 8
AwayTobiaszn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wichowski8Tobiasz2n = 10Wichowski took 8 of 10
S2Wichowski7Tobiasz3n = 10Wichowski took 7 of 10
S3Wichowski8Tobiasz2n = 10Wichowski took 8 of 10
S4Wichowski4Tobiasz2n = 6Wichowski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWichowskiTobiaszW − TBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.529.5+9.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWichowskiTobiaszBasisWin rate · lifetime569 / 927 vs 327 / 71161.4%46%569 / 927 vs 327 / 711Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiWichowski 1.36/Tobiasz 2.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wichowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 07:10G. Wichowski331111113W. Tobiasz198560
WSep 14 · 15:30G. Wichowski44111111113W. Tobiasz23113541
LSep 14 · 09:30G. Wichowski3971210101W. Tobiasz45111012123
WSep 7 · 13:10G. Wichowski371511113W. Tobiasz3113990
WSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski4013115113W. Tobiasz311171121
WSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski3521111113W. Tobiasz25113741
WSep 4 · 09:05G. Wichowski361111143W. Tobiasz2585120
WAug 21 · 13:30G. Wichowski361111143W. Tobiasz2484120
WAug 21 · 07:30G. Wichowski4113611113W. Tobiasz301111351
WAug 17 · 16:20G. Wichowski44115116113W. Tobiasz4271191142
G. Wichowski10
WSep 18 · 12:45G. Wichowski1.45111111113P. Slosarczyk2.50713881WSep 18 · 10:20P. Slosarczyk2.5048100G. Wichowski1.451111123WSep 18 · 09:30O. Jadach1.833880G. Wichowski1.871111113LSep 18 · 08:45G. Wichowski1.5571720M. Paszkiewicz2.151119113WSep 18 · 07:10G. Wichowski1.361111113W. Tobiasz2.958560LSep 18 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.9511712113G. Wichowski1.747111091WSep 14 · 16:20Y. Fomin2.257950G. Wichowski1.541111113WSep 14 · 15:30W. Tobiasz2.60113541G. Wichowski1.41111111113WSep 14 · 14:45G. Wichowski2.0611116113J. Pruszkowski1.63641141LSep 14 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.5311991182M. Baron2.35611116113
W. Tobiasz10
LSep 18 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.42911117113W. Tobiasz2.6511861182LSep 18 · 09:55M. Paszkiewicz1.70113119113W. Tobiasz2.0561131132WSep 18 · 07:55P. Slosarczyk1.95511671W. Tobiasz1.7611611113LSep 18 · 07:10G. Wichowski1.361111113W. Tobiasz2.958560LSep 18 · 05:30O. Jadach1.4211117113W. Tobiasz2.60391161LSep 14 · 17:05W. Tobiasz3.0041111152J. Pruszkowski1.36116119113LSep 14 · 15:30W. Tobiasz2.60113541G. Wichowski1.41111111113WSep 14 · 14:20W. Tobiasz1.8191111113P. Mecik1.83118981LSep 14 · 12:45W. Tobiasz1.95511461Y. Fomin1.7011611113WSep 14 · 11:30W. Tobiasz1.951111113M. Baron1.719940
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