Michal Paszkiewicz vs Wojciech Tobiasz 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13150121

Played Sep 18Finished

Michal Paszkiewicz

Home

1.70

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

116311113911113

Wojciech Tobiasz

Away

2.05

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:11 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%

Graded at full time

Michal Paszkiewicz to win

58.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

79 points played in total.

Set by set

116311113911113

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 01:11

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.70 (55%)

Paszkiewicz

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Paszkiewicz 1382 vs Tobiasz 1272

Paszkiewicz

Correct

both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Paszkiewicz 80% vs Tobiasz 20%

Paszkiewicz

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Paszkiewicz 70% vs Tobiasz 40%

Paszkiewicz

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Paszkiewicz +1 · Tobiasz +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Paszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Tobiasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (49%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPaszkiewicz 1.70 / Tobiasz 2.05

Signal prob.56% / 45%

Edge (Paszkiewicz)+0.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13150121

Paszkiewicz1.70

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite58% won 77 of 133

Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41

Up 1–0, closes it88% 59 of 67

Tobiasz2.05

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog38% won 79 of 206

Down 0–1, comes back20% 22 of 112

Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 65

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricPaszkiewiczTobiaszBasisWin rate · lifetime420 / 784 vs 328 / 71053.6%46.2%420 / 784 vs 328 / 710Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Paszkiewicz

Paszkiewicz 1.70/Tobiasz 2.05

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.5%

Paszkiewicz · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Paszkiewicz won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Paszkiewicz10