TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kaczmarek vs Adrian Burkacki 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
1.88
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1143116111181715
Adrian Burkacki
Away
1.82
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Burkacki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
1143116111181715
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 13–15 Adrian Burkacki Jakub Kaczmarek has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:38What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Burkacki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-15 in 28
Burkacki
Wrong
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1373 vs Burkacki 1279
Kaczmarek
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 40% vs Burkacki 60%
Burkacki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 40% vs Burkacki 60%
Burkacki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek -1 · Burkacki +3
Burkacki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kaczmarek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 1.88 / Burkacki 1.82
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kaczmarek)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13187643
Kaczmarek1.88
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 172 of 499
Down 0–1, comes back18% 56 of 314
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 176
Burkacki1.82
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 15 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek6wins
AwayBurkacki4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKaczmarek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarek83.3%5 of 6
AwayBurkacki75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek6Burkacki4n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S2Kaczmarek6Burkacki4n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S3Kaczmarek4Burkacki6n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S4Kaczmarek5Burkacki3n = 8Kaczmarek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekBurkackiK − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.3−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime496 / 1327 vs 130 / 36237.4%35.9%496 / 1327 vs 130 / 362Avg sets wonper match1.61.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.935.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczmarekKaczmarek 1.88/Burkacki 1.82
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kaczmarek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek48113611173A. Burkacki49411118152
WSep 10 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek331111113A. Burkacki218850
LSep 3 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek521181110122A. Burkacki54811912143
WAug 28 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek3511112113A. Burkacki37891191
LAug 13 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek391013971A. Burkacki45121111113
LAug 6 · 05:10J. Kaczmarek32911841A. Burkacki4011711113
LJul 30 · 03:30J. Kaczmarek196940A. Burkacki331111113
WJul 23 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek4313712113A. Burkacki3911111071
WJul 16 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek4511139123A. Burkacki4191111101
WJul 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek3841112113A. Burkacki341181051
J. Kaczmarek10
LSep 24 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.258280M. Lebek1.271111113WSep 24 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek1.761112113O. Sokolowski1.9061060LSep 22 · 08:45I. Szymanski2.551111113J. Kaczmarek1.459790WSep 22 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek3.45111411133K. Hetnar1.269167111LSep 22 · 06:25K. Kowalski3.7511711113J. Kaczmarek1.22611891LSep 22 · 05:10R. Gajda1.8311611113J. Kaczmarek1.87911691WSep 22 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.00111151082J. Kaczmarek1.70691112113LSep 21 · 17:05P. Ostachowski—511711113J. Kaczmarek—11511122WSep 21 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek1.861111113W. Tobiasz1.833980LSep 21 · 14:45O. Jadach1.351111113J. Kaczmarek3.009870
A. Burkacki10
LSep 24 · 06:45M. Lebek1.4011611113A. Burkacki2.77911771WSep 24 · 05:10A. Burkacki1.80811117143J. Nowak1.85118911122WSep 24 · 04:00A. Burkacki2.1411411113R. Skotniczny1.64711881WSep 24 · 02:45A. Burkacki1.66711118113J. Nowak2.0511651152LSep 24 · 01:10A. Burkacki1.8261141372R. Wiza1.881161111113LSep 24 · 24:00A. Burkacki1.641110961K. Hetnar2.1451211113LSep 23 · 22:25A. Burkacki2.20159781M. Lebek1.57131111113LSep 23 · 21:10A. Burkacki1.9471570O. Sokolowski1.631117113WSep 10 · 08:45M. Lebek1.358950A. Burkacki2.801111113WSep 10 · 07:35A. Burkacki2.0711911113O. Sokolowski1.62511791
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