TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marian Lebek vs Adrian Burkacki 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611117117––
Adrian Burkacki
Away
2.77
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
119611117117––
H2H Marian Lebek 31–18 Adrian Burkacki Adrian Burkacki has won 18 of their 49 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Lebek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.40 / Burkacki 2.77
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Lebek)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13187906
Lebek1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 241 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it96% 162 of 168
Up 1–0, closes it83% 213 of 258
Burkacki2.77
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 54 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek6wins
AwayBurkacki4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLebek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek83.3%5 of 6
AwayBurkacki75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek6Burkacki4n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S2Lebek4Burkacki6n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S3Lebek5Burkacki5n = 10split evenly
S4Lebek4Burkacki3n = 7Lebek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekBurkackiL − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.634.5+1.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime854 / 1465 vs 130 / 36258.3%35.9%854 / 1465 vs 130 / 362Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.40/Burkacki 2.77
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 06:45M. Lebek3911611113A. Burkacki34911771
WSep 23 · 22:25M. Lebek46131111113A. Burkacki39159781
LSep 10 · 08:45M. Lebek228950A. Burkacki331111113
WSep 10 · 24:25M. Lebek45111148113A. Burkacki4157111172
WSep 3 · 06:25M. Lebek331111113A. Burkacki216690
LSep 3 · 02:45M. Lebek33871171A. Burkacki4111118113
WAug 28 · 06:45M. Lebek4011612113A. Burkacki329111021
LAug 28 · 02:45M. Lebek361161271A. Burkacki4481114113
WAug 20 · 05:35M. Lebek4211119113A. Burkacki27371161
LAug 19 · 23:35M. Lebek206950A. Burkacki331111113
M. Lebek10
LSep 24 · 05:35M. Lebek1.6011813101O. Sokolowski2.1581115123WSep 24 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.258280M. Lebek1.271111113LSep 24 · 03:35M. Lebek1.579121021J. Nowak2.27111012113WSep 24 · 02:00M. Lebek2.33551211113R. Wiza1.54111110852LSep 24 · 24:45M. Lebek1.95111021182K. Hetnar1.75712117113WSep 23 · 23:35M. Lebek1.501211711113O. Sokolowski2.40105111392WSep 23 · 22:25A. Burkacki2.20159781M. Lebek1.57131111113LSep 23 · 21:35M. Lebek2.071311101172J. Nowak1.68158125113WSep 23 · 08:45I. Szymanski4.655380M. Lebek1.141111113WSep 23 · 07:35M. Lebek1.501111113M. Paszkiewicz2.358680
A. Burkacki10
LSep 24 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek1.88113611173A. Burkacki1.82411118152WSep 24 · 05:10A. Burkacki1.80811117143J. Nowak1.85118911122WSep 24 · 04:00A. Burkacki2.1411411113R. Skotniczny1.64711881WSep 24 · 02:45A. Burkacki1.66711118113J. Nowak2.0511651152LSep 24 · 01:10A. Burkacki1.8261141372R. Wiza1.881161111113LSep 24 · 24:00A. Burkacki1.641110961K. Hetnar2.1451211113LSep 23 · 22:25A. Burkacki2.20159781M. Lebek1.57131111113LSep 23 · 21:10A. Burkacki1.9471570O. Sokolowski1.631117113WSep 10 · 08:45M. Lebek1.358950A. Burkacki2.801111113WSep 10 · 07:35A. Burkacki2.0711911113O. Sokolowski1.62511791
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