TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marian Lebek vs Jakub Nowak 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91112101012211––
Jakub Nowak
Away
2.27
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
91112101012211––
H2H Marian Lebek 51–33 Jakub Nowak Jakub Nowak has won 33 of their 84 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Nowak beat Lebek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Lebek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.57 / Nowak 2.27
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Lebek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13187551
Lebek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 236 of 379
Up 2–0, closes it96% 158 of 164
Up 1–0, closes it82% 209 of 254
Nowak2.27
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 240 of 660
Down 0–1, comes back22% 86 of 398
Down 0–2, comes back9% 20 of 231
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek6wins
AwayNowak4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLebek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek71.4%5 of 7
AwayNowak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek7Nowak3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Lebek5Nowak5n = 10split evenly
S3Lebek7Nowak3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S4Lebek5Nowak2n = 7Lebek took 5 of 7
S5Lebek1Nowak3n = 4Nowak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekNowakL − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.236.2+6.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime852 / 1461 vs 681 / 176258.3%38.7%852 / 1461 vs 681 / 1762Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.57/Nowak 2.27
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.3%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 21:35M. Lebek521311101172J. Nowak51158125113
LSep 11 · 06:25M. Lebek48111181082J. Nowak49691112113
WSep 11 · 02:45M. Lebek351111133J. Nowak2586110
WSep 2 · 06:00M. Lebek4411714123J. Nowak4181112101
WSep 2 · 24:45M. Lebek5814111111113J. Nowak5116139672
WAug 26 · 08:20M. Lebek331111113J. Nowak141850
LAug 12 · 07:35M. Lebek49810111192J. Nowak47111258113
WAug 12 · 01:35M. Lebek4011711113J. Nowak28611561
WJul 29 · 05:10M. Lebek331111113J. Nowak147250
LJul 24 · 24:45M. Lebek301161031J. Nowak4281112113
M. Lebek10
WSep 24 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.258280M. Lebek1.271111113WSep 24 · 02:00M. Lebek2.33551211113R. Wiza1.54111110852LSep 24 · 24:45M. Lebek1.95111021182K. Hetnar1.75712117113WSep 23 · 23:35M. Lebek1.501211711113O. Sokolowski2.40105111392WSep 23 · 22:25A. Burkacki2.20159781M. Lebek1.57131111113LSep 23 · 21:35M. Lebek2.071311101172J. Nowak1.68158125113WSep 23 · 08:45I. Szymanski4.655380M. Lebek1.141111113WSep 23 · 07:35M. Lebek1.501111113M. Paszkiewicz2.358680WSep 23 · 06:25P. Adamus1.85810111382M. Lebek1.851112311113WSep 23 · 05:10M. Sikon2.505980M. Lebek1.461111113
J. Nowak10
LSep 24 · 02:45A. Burkacki1.66711118113J. Nowak2.0511651152WSep 24 · 01:35J. Nowak2.2512812123O. Sokolowski1.54101110101LSep 24 · 24:25R. Wiza1.65117118113J. Nowak2.1081141192LSep 23 · 23:10K. Hetnar1.221111113J. Nowak4.003750WSep 23 · 21:35M. Lebek2.071311101172J. Nowak1.68158125113LSep 23 · 02:35J. Nowak2.103660L. Oracz1.671111113WSep 23 · 01:00J. Nowak2.209111112113G. Marud1.6111881492LSep 22 · 23:45J. Nowak2.258870G. Jurowicz1.571111113LSep 22 · 22:10J. Nowak2.7591211612M. Koczyba1.401110611113LSep 22 · 21:00J. Nowak2.0068100M. Adamus1.731111123
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